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French Government Topples As No-Confidence Vote Deepens Political Crisis

French opposition MPs toppled the government on Wednesday, plunging the European Union's second-largest economy into a political crisis that jeopardises its ability to legislate and address a substantial budget deficit.

Far-right and left-wing MPs united to pass a no-confidence motion against Prime Minister Michel Barnier and his administration, securing a majority of 331 votes in favour of the motion, reported Reuters.

Michel Barnier

Barnier is expected to offer his resignation, along with that of his government, to President Emmanuel Macron in the near future.

No French government has lost a confidence vote since Georges Pompidou's in 1962. This latest crisis stems from Macron's decision to call a snap election in June, which resulted in a deeply divided parliament.

With the president weakened, France risks ending the year without a stable government or a 2025 budget. However, constitutional provisions could prevent a government shutdown akin to those seen in the United States.

France's political instability adds further strain to a European Union already grappling with the collapse of Germany's coalition government and comes just weeks before US President-elect Donald Trump returns to the White House.

The far right and the left criticised Barnier for invoking special constitutional powers to push through part of an unpopular budget without a final parliamentary vote. The budget aimed to cut €60 billion in a bid to reduce the deficit.

Far-right leader Marine Le Pen stated that toppling the government was "the only way the constitution gives us to protect the French from a dangerous, unfair and punitive budget."

NO EASY SOLUTION IN SIGHT

France now faces a period of significant political uncertainty, which has already unsettled investors in French sovereign bonds and equities. Earlier this week, France's borrowing costs briefly surpassed those of Greece, traditionally seen as far riskier.

Macron must now make a crucial decision.

Three sources informed Reuters that Macron plans to appoint a new prime minister quickly, with one suggesting the announcement could come before Saturday's reopening ceremony for the Notre-Dame Cathedral, which US President-elect Donald Trump is expected to attend.

However, any new prime minister will face the same challenges as Barnier in navigating legislation, including the 2025 budget, through a fragmented parliament. A fresh parliamentary election cannot take place before July.

Alternatively, Macron could ask Barnier and his ministers to remain in a caretaker role while he identifies a prime minister capable of securing enough cross-party support to govern effectively.

A caretaker government might propose emergency legislation to extend the tax-and-spend provisions of the 2024 budget into the following year or use special powers to pass the 2025 budget by decree. However, legal experts warn this is a grey area, and the political fallout could be significant.

Macron risks his opponents rejecting successive prime ministerial appointments, further exacerbating the crisis.

His critics argue that the only way to resolve the political deadlock is for Macron himself to resign, something he has so far shown little willingness to consider.

The turmoil poses risks for Le Pen as well, who has long sought to convince voters that her party represents a stable government-in-waiting.

Both Barnier's allies and Le Pen's National Rally party, which had supported the minority coalition, are blaming each other for the current crisis.

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