Asianet poll 2016: LDF to return in Kerala, BJP to open account

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Thiruvananthapuram, Feb 22: C for Survey---the opinion poll for Kera;a Assembly election this year conducted by C-FORE and Asianet News has predicted the Left Democratic Front (LDF) coming back to power in the southern state in this year's Assembly elections by securing around 77-82 seats.

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The state Assembly has 140 seats in total.


The ruling United Democratic Front led by the Congress will be reduced to 55-60 seats, as per the opinion poll.

BJP's vote-share to rise to 18%

However, a significant prediction of this opinion poll is the BJP's opening its account in the state legislature. The BJP is expected to get 18 per cent vote share and bag three to five seats in this election. It will be three times the vote-share that the BJP had got in the 2011 Assembly polls (6%). The BJP is expected to win from Manjeshwar, Kasaragod and Nemom constituencies, which are currently under the IUML and CPI(M), respectively.

The BJP is predicted to win 18% votes in Kerala, 3 times more than that of 2011


The LDF and UDF are expected to win 41 and 37 per cent of votes, the survey said.

LDF's vote-share to decrease despite anti-UDF sentiments

Despite the strong anti-incumbency against the Oommen Chandy government, which has also been hit by various controversies, the survey has predicted that the LDF's vote-share could decrease from its 2011 figure of almost 45 per cent. This, according to the opinion poll, will the result of the NDA eating into the vote-share of both the UDF and LDF votes.

Other facts to know from the survey:

Time period: February 1-16

Places of survey: 70 constituencies comprising 148 towns and 568 villages.

Percentage of voters who believe that BJP will open its account in the state Assembly: 53

Percentage of voters who believe that charges raised by solar-scam accused Saritha S Nair about CM Oommen Chandy are true: 57

Percentage of voters who believe the solar scam will lead to the UDF's defeat: 65

Percentage of voters who believe the bar bribery scam will hit UDF: 19

Percentage of voters who want the veteran CPI(M) leader V S Acutanandan to contest the polls: 73

Percentage of voters who don't want him to contest the polls: 16

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