Delhi poll projection: AAP to emerge kingmaker?

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Mumbai, Sept 18: The Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) is likely to win seven seats, putting the upcoming assembly elections in Delhi this year an interesting affair, a projection by CVoter said on Wednesday. According to the Times Now report, the ruling Congress will get 29 seats (14 less than 2008) while the opposition BJP's tally will rise to 30 (seven more than the last poll). Others are likely to get four seats (same as 2008). Delhi has 70 assembly seats.

[Rajasthan results projection]

[MP, Chhattisgarh results projection]

According to the survey, the vote share of the Congress is going to dip by six per cent but the BJP is going to see much of an increase (only two per cent). The new kid in the block, AAP is expected to bag 16 pr cent of the votes, which makes the biggest story.

Preferred chief ministerial candidate for Delhi:

Sheila Dikshit (Cong) - 38%
Vijender Goel (BJP) - 18%
Arvind Kejriwal (AAP) - 17%

PM candidate preferred by Delhi voters:

Narendra Modi (BJP) - 55%
Rahul Gandhi (Cong) - 18%
Manmohan Singh (Cong) - 3%
Sushma Swaraj (BJP) - 2%

According to one expert, the projected vote share of the AAP was even more but analysed that some of the anti-Congress votes went to the BJP following the anointment of Narendra Modi as its prime ministerial candidate.

Seventeen per cent prefers Arvind Kejriwal as the chief minister of Delhi

Delhi Chief Minister Sheila Dikshit said the projections won't matter till the candidates are officially announced. Another Delhi-based Congress leader said the AAP's impact will be negligible.

BJP's Dr Harshvardhan said the BJP will go allout to ensure that the Congress loses. Another BJP spokesperson Nirmala Sitharaman said the Delhi poll will be a match-fixing between the Congress and the AAP.

Issues important for the Delhi polls:

1. Anti-incumbency against the 15-year-old regime of Sheila Dikshit

2. Corruption

3. Rise of an urban party like the AAP

4. Onion prices (onion prices led to the fall of the Sushma Swaraj's government in 1998)

5. Lack of a strong BJP leadership in the state

6. The anti-incumbency against the UPA government

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