BJP may get 41-49 seats in UP with 38% vote share, says polls survey

Lucknow, Jan 23: The

is likely to bag 41-49 seats in the upcoming Lok Sabha polls, a Lokniti-IBN pre-poll survey said on Thursday. The Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP) is expected to finish the distant second with 10-16 seats while the ruling

(SP) is likely to get 8-14 seats. The

is likely to face a drubbing with just 4-10 seats, said the survey. Other parties may get 2-6 seats.

Uttar Pradesh sends 80 members to the Lok Sabha, the most among all states, and the BJP's likely result reflects a massive effect of the Narendra Modi wave flowing across the nation.

In terms of vote-share, the BJP is likely to get 38 per cent, which is 20 per cent more than that of 2009. Such vote-share will also be the highest ever in history. All other parties are set to witness a decline in their vote-share (BSP going down to 17 per cent from 28 per cent, SP going down from 23 per cent to 17 per cent and the Congress going down from 18 per cent to 16 per cent). The Aam Aadmi Party may get five per cent of the votes while others may get seven per cent of the votes, said the survey. In terms of seats, the SP won 23 seats, followed by the Congress (21 seats), BSP (20 seats) and BJP (10 seats).

Narendra Modi is the most preferred candidate as the prime minister with 35 per cent votes. Congress vice-president Rahul Gandhi received 12 per cent of votes while Mayawati and Mulayam received 11 and 10 per cent votes. AAP leader Arvind Kejriwal received four per cent votes.

Modi is most popular in eastern UP and Doab regions (41 per cent votes) and least popular in western UP closer to Delhi (just 24 per cent backing).

The previous BSP government in the state has been rated better than the current SP government. The Muslims and the OBCs have preferred the previous Mayawati government more even though have been traditional supporters of the SP, compared to what it was six months ago. Overall, 42 per cent of the voters backed the BSP government.

Other findings:

Dissatisfaction with ruling SP government has risen in the last six months. Forty per cent respondents are unhappy with the current government. Last year, it was 32 per cent.

Fifty per cent of the respondents are satisfied with Akhilesh Yadav as the chief minister while 40 per cent are not happy with him.

Only 27 per cent of the voters wanted another chance for the SP government in the state while 57 per cent was against it. In 2013, the latter number was 44 per cent.

Forty-five per cent of the voters blamed the SP government for the deadly Muzaffarnagar riots last year while only 13 per cent believed the BJP was responsible. The figures for the BSP and Congress were eight and four percent, respectively.

Over 44 per cent of the people said they are unhappy with the UPA government at the Centre. Only 39 per cent of the people was happy with the Centre's role in the Muzaffarnagar riots.

OneIndia News