Vote Share Trends in Delhi: How Power Changed Hands Over Three Decades

The Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) is poised for a historic victory in the Delhi Assembly Polls, marking the end of the Aam Aadmi Party's (AAP) two-term rule and returning to power in the national capital after 27 years.

According to the Election Commission (EC) website, as of 11:55 am, the BJP had secured 47.01% of the vote share, while AAP trailed with 43.16%. Notably, AAP's top leader, Manish Sisodia has lost to BJP's Tarvinder Singh Marwah in the Janpura Assembly seat.

Vote Share Dynamics in Delhi Since 1993

1993

The first Delhi Assembly elections were held in 1993 after the Indian Parliament restored the Legislative Assembly. The BJP emerged victorious, winning 49 out of 70 seats with a 42% vote share. The Indian National Congress (INC) secured 14 seats with a 34% vote share, and Madan Lal Khurana of the BJP became the Chief Minister.

1998

The 1998 elections saw a significant shift as the Congress won 50 seats with a 40% vote share, reducing the BJP to 20 seats with a 30% vote share. Sheila Dikshit of the Congress became the Chief Minister.

2003

In 2003, the Congress further strengthened its position by winning 47 seats with a 35% vote share, while the BJP maintained 20 seats with a 30% vote share. Sheila Dikshit continued as Chief Minister, focusing on infrastructure development and urban planning.

2008

The 2008 elections resulted in a landslide victory for the Congress, which won 43 seats with a 40% vote share. The BJP secured 23 seats with a 30% vote share. Sheila Dikshit remained Chief Minister, overseeing rapid urbanization and preparations for the 2010 Commonwealth Games.

2013

The 2013 elections marked the rise of the Aam Aadmi Party (AAP), founded by Arvind Kejriwal after the anti-corruption movement led by Anna Hazare. AAP secured 28 out of 70 seats with a 29% vote share, making a significant debut in Indian politics. Kejriwal briefly became Chief Minister but resigned after 49 days.

2015

In 2015, AAP achieved a landslide victory, winning 67 out of 70 seats with a 54% vote share. The BJP secured only 3 seats, and the Congress was completely wiped out. Arvind Kejriwal returned as Chief Minister, reflecting strong public support for AAP's governance model.

2020

The 2020 elections saw AAP maintaining its stronghold by winning 62 out of 70 seats with approximately 53% of the vote share. The BJP secured the remaining 8 seats, while the Congress failed to win any. Arvind Kejriwal continued as Chief Minister, solidifying AAP's position as the leading political force in Delhi.

The 2023 elections, however, indicate a dramatic shift, with the BJP likely to end AAP's dominance and return to power in Delhi after nearly three decades.