Axis My India Maharashtra Exit Poll 2024: Maha Yuti Set For Big Win With 178-200 Seats, MVA Trails

In the latest Axis My India Exit Poll for Maharashtra, the Maha Yuti alliance, comprising the BJP, Shiv Sena (Shinde faction), and NCP (Ajit Pawar faction), is predicted to secure a commanding victory with 178 to 200 seats out of 288. The alliance is projected to capture 48% of the vote share, making it the front-runner in the state.

The BJP alone is expected to win between 98 to 107 seats, while Shiv Sena (Shinde faction) is likely to secure 53 to 58 seats, and NCP (Ajit Pawar faction) is predicted to win 25 to 30 seats. This formidable alliance has emerged as the dominant force in Maharashtra's political landscape.

On the other hand, the Maha Vikas Aghadi (MVA) alliance, which includes the Congress, Shiv Sena (Uddhav faction), and NCP (Sharad Pawar faction), is projected to win between 82 and 102 seats, with a vote share of 37%. Within the MVA, Congress is expected to secure 28 to 36 seats, while Shiv Sena (Uddhav faction) is forecasted to win 26 to 32 seats, and NCP (Sharad Pawar faction) is predicted to win 26 to 30 seats.

The Vanchit Bahujan Aghadi (VBA), which has been campaigning on social justice issues, is not expected to win any seats in this election.

In total, Others are predicted to win between 6 to 12 seats, accounting for about 12% of the vote share.

What Other Exit Polls Predicted

Several exit polls have suggested that the Maha Vikas Aghadi (MVA) would put up a competitive fight in the Maharashtra assembly elections but is unlikely to secure the majority mark in the 288-member house.

P-MARQ Exit Poll: The Mahayuti alliance is projected to win 137-157 seats, while the MVA is estimated to secure 126-147 seats. Others are predicted to win between 2-8 seats.

Matrize Exit Poll: This poll forecasts 150-170 seats for the Mahayuti and 110-130 seats for the MVA, with others possibly gaining 8-10 seats.

Chanakya Exit Poll: The BJP-led Mahayuti is predicted to win 152-160 seats, while the Congress-led MVA is expected to secure 130-138 seats.

People's Pulse: This exit poll gives Mahayuti a clear edge, projecting 175-195 seats for the alliance. The MVA is expected to win 85-112 seats, while others might capture 7-12 seats.

Notably, the majority mark in the Maharashtra assembly is 145. Interestingly, the Republic TV-PMARQ prediction hints that even the MVA could potentially cross this threshold, leaving room for an unpredictable outcome.