West Bengal opinion poll: Random seat-wise predictions

Kolkata, March 28: Bengali news channel and AC Nielsen jointly conducted an opinion poll on the results in various constituencies of West Bengal Assembly election.

• What West Bengal opinion polls 2016 of Feb 18 said
• AC Nielsen poll: 43% feels Narada sting op has hit Mamata Banerjee's image
• ETV Bangla poll: TMC may win 201 seats

Here is the list of results that the opinion poll has predicted (this survey was carried out between March 10 and 21 and did not include the Narada issue)

The survey predicted a number of results---Trinamool Congress winning/leading, Left-Congress alliance winning/leading, BJP winning/leading, others winning/leading and close fights in which no result could be predicted.

Party/alliance-wise results predicted (in 49 out of 294 seats):

• TMC may win 19 seats and is leading closely in 3
• Left-Congress may win 10 seats and is leading closely in 5
• Close contests in 10 seats
  
• BJP may win zero seats and is leading in 1
• GJM may win 1 seat and is leading in zero seat.

In 2011, the TMC-Congress alliance won 42 of these 49 seats. The Left won six and the Gorkha Janmukti Morcha won one seat.

Here is the constituency-wise prediction:

• Kalimpong: Gorkha Janmukti Morcha (GJM) may win [2011 winner GJM]
  
• Dinhata: Close fight expected [2011 Left]
  
• Itahar: Alliance may win [2011 TMC+Cong alliance]
  
• Englishbazaar: Alliance leading closely [2011 TMC+Cong alliance]
  
• Dumdum: TMC may win [2011 TMC+Cong alliance]
  
• Ballygunge: TMC may win [2011 TMC+Cong alliance]
  
• Tamluk: TMC leading closely [2011 TMC+Cong alliance]
  
• Madhyamgram: Alliance leading closely [2011 TMC+Cong alliance]
  
• Jadavpur: Alliance may win [2011 TMC+Cong alliance]
  
• Dabgram-Fulbari: TMC leading closely [2011 TMC+Cong alliance]
  
• Jalpaiguri: Close fight expected [2011 TMC+Cong alliance]
  
• Baharampur: Close fight expected [2011 TMC+Cong alliance]
  
• Basirhat Dakkhin: BJP leading closely [2011 Left]
  
• Khardah: TMC leading closely [2011 TMC+Cong alliance]
  
• Bhabanipur: TMC may win [2011 TMC+Cong alliance]
  
• Tollygung: TMC may win [2011 TMC+Cong alliance]
  
• Bally: Alliance may win [2011 TMC+Cong alliance]
  
• Matigara-Naxalbari: Alliance leading closely [2011 TMC+Cong alliance]
  
• Sujapur: TMC may win [2011 TMC+Cong alliance]
  
• Rajarhat-New Town: TMC may win [2011 TMC+Cong alliance]
  
• Bhangore: Alliance may win [2011 Left]
  
• Kolkata Bondor: TMC may win [2011 TMC+Cong alliance]
  
• Rashbehari: TMC may win [2011 TMC+Cong alliance]
  
• Chowringee: Close fight expected [2011 TMC+Cong alliance]
  
• Salboni: Alliance may win [2011 TMC+Cong alliance]
  
• Barasat: TMC may win [2011 TMC+Cong alliance]
  
• Behala East: TMC may win [2011 TMC+Cong alliance]
  
• Behala West: Alliance leading closely [2011 TMC+Cong alliance]
  
• Maniktala: TMC may win [2011 TMC+Cong alliance]
  
• Narayangarh: Close fight expected [2011 Left]
  
• Taldangra: Alliance may win [2011 Left]
  
• Barjora: Close fight expected [2011 TMC+Cong alliance]
  
• Mangalkot: Alliance leading closely [2011 Left]
  
• Beleghata: TMC may win [2011 TMC+Cong alliance]
  
• Sonarpur: Alliance may win [2011 TMC+Cong alliance]
  
• Howrah North: Alliance may win [2011 TMC+Cong alliance]
  
• Domjur: TMC may win [2011 TMC+Cong alliance]
  
• Singur: TMC may win [2011 TMC+Cong alliance]
  
• Nandigram: TMC may win [2011 TMC+Cong alliance]
  
• Kasba: Close fight expected [2011 TMC+Cong alliance]
  
• Chandannagore: Close fight expected [2011 TMC+Cong alliance]
  
• Sabang: Alliance may win [2011 TMC+Cong alliance]
  
• Basirhat North: TMC may win [2011 TMC+Cong alliance]
  
• Rajarhat-Gopalpur: TMC may win [2011 TMC+Cong alliance]
  
• Alipurduar: TMC may win [2011 TMC+Cong alliance]
  
• Ramnagar: TMC may win [2011 TMC+Cong alliance]
  
• Kharagpur Sadar: Close fight expected [2011 TMC+Cong alliance]
  
• Bardhaman South: Close fight expected [2011 TMC+Cong alliance]
  
• Raiganj: Alliance may win [2011 TMC+Cong alliance]
  

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