Bengal post poll: TMC may win 163 seats; Left-Cong 126; BJP 1

Kolkata, May 16: The Trinamool Congress (TMC) led by Mamata Banerjee is set to retain power in West Bengal in this year's Assembly election, said a post-poll survey conducted by ABP Ananda and AC Nielsen between April 5 and May 7. [What's difference between exit poll and post-poll survey]

Assembly Polls 2016 Coverage
What ABP Ananda-Nielsen first pre-poll survey said
What ABP-Ananda-Nielsen second pre-poll survey said

According to the survey, the ruling TMC may get 163 of the 294 Assembly seats, 15 more than the magic figure of 148. The Left-Congress alliance, on the other hand, may get 126 seats while the BJP may get one seat. Others may get four seats.

In terms of vote-share, the TMC may get 44 per cent while the Left may end up with 42 per cent, just two points less. The BJP may get seven per cent, 10 points less than its impressive tally of 17 per cent garnered in the 2014 Lok Sabha election. Others may also end up with seven per cent votes.

25 seats can go anybody's way

The survey, however, added that in 25 seats, the difference between the TMC and the Left-Congress alliance may be less than five per cent, which means the results could be different if those seats go to the Opposition's way.

In the 2011 Assembly election, the TMC-Congress alliance got 227 seats while the Left got 60-odd seats. The BJP opened their account later after winning a by-election. In 2012, the Congress pulled out of the government though the TMC had enough numbers to maintain the majority.

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