Will BJP Retain Madhya Pradesh? Here's What Exit Polls Say
Is the Congress poised to unseat Shivraj Singh Chouhan's government, or will the BJP maintain its hold on power in the Hindi heartland? According to opinion polls, this state is heading for a closely contested outcome.
According to the Republic TV-Matrize exit poll, the BJP is expected to win as it is likely to bag 118-130 seats. The Congress is projected to win in the range of 97-107 seats, while other parties are expected to secure 0-2 seats.

On the other hand, the predictions from TV 9 Bharatvarsh-Polstrat lean towards the Congress, estimating a win in 111-121 seats, while the BJP is expected to be limited to 106-116 seats. Other parties are anticipated to win between 0-6 seats.
Jan Ki Baat presents a closely contested scenario in its exit poll, suggesting that the results could swing in either direction. The projection includes 102-125 seats for the Congress, 100-123 seats for the ruling BJP, and five seats for other parties.
Various exit poll agencies have provided the following projections for Madhya Pradesh:
| Source | BJP | Cong | Others |
| Dainik Bhaskar | 105-120 | 95-115 | 0 |
| India Today-Axis My India | 68-90 | 140-162 | 0-2 |
| Times Now-ETG | 109-125 | 105-117 | 0 |
| India TV- CNX | 140-159 | 70-89 | 0-2 |
| Jan Ki Baat | 100-123 | 102-125 | 5 |
| News 24-Today's Chanakya | 151 | 74 | 5 |
| Republic TV- Matrize | 118-130 | 97-107 | 0-2 |
| TV 9 Bharatvarsh- Polstrat | 106-116 | 111-121 | 0-6 |
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