Lok Sabha Election 2024: Analysing Major Exit Poll State-Wise

The exit polls from various major news channels have projected a resounding comeback for Prime Minister Narendra Modi-led NDA in the upcoming general elections, indicating a historic third term for the incumbent dispensation.

While we have to wait for the final results to come on June 4, here's a detailed state-wise breakdown of the exit poll predictions.

Photo Credit: PTI

The News18 Mega Exit Poll suggests a robust performance for the BJP and NDA, projecting increases in both their seat counts and vote shares compared to the 2019 Lok Sabha elections.

Telangana
Total Seats: 17
BJP: 7-10 seats
Vote Share: 37%

2019 Performance: 4 seats, 19.45% vote share

Karnataka
Total Seats: 28
BJP: 21-24 seats
NDA: 23-26 seats

2019 Performance: 25 seats

Tamil Nadu

Total Seats: 39
BJP in alliance with AIADMK+: 1-3 seats
Vote Share: 17%

2019 Performance: 0 seats, 3.66% vote share

Andhra Pradesh

Total Seats: 25
BJP: 4-6 seats
NDA: 19-22 seats
Vote Share: 61%

2019 Performance: 0 seats, 0.96% vote share

Kerala

Total Seats: 20
BJP: 1-3 seats
Vote Share: 16%

2019 Performance: 0 seats, 12.93% vote share

Odisha

Total Seats: 21
BJP: 13-15 seats
Vote Share: 40%

2019 Performance: 8 seats, 38.37% vote share

West Bengal

Total Seats: 42
BJP: 21-24 seats
Vote Share: 43%

2019 Performance: 18 seats, 40.25% vote share

Punjab

Total Seats: 13
BJP: 2-4 seats

2019 Performance: 2 seats

Uttar Pradesh

Total Seats: 80
BJP: 64-67 seats
NDA: 68-71 seats

2019 Performance: 62 seats

Chhattisgarh

Total Seats: 11
BJP: 9-11 seats

2019 Performance: 9 seats

Madhya Pradesh

Total Seats: 29
BJP: 26-29 seats

2019 Performance: 28 seats

Delhi

Total Seats: 7
BJP: 5-7 seats

2019 Performance: 7 seats

Gujarat

Total Seats: 26
BJP: 26 seats

2019 Performance: 26 seats

Haryana

Total Seats: 10
NDA: 5-7 seats

2019 Performance: 10 seats (BJP)

Rajasthan

Total Seats: 25
BJP: 18-23 seats

2019 Performance: 24 seats

Bihar

Total Seats: 40
BJP: 13-16 seats
NDA: 31-34 seats

2019 Performance: 17 seats (BJP)

Maharashtra

Total Seats: 48
BJP: 20-23 seats
NDA: 32-35 seats

2019 Performance: 23 seats (BJP)

The News18 Mega Exit Poll 2024 projects a significant overall gain for the BJP and NDA, indicating increased seat counts and vote shares in several key regions. While the saffron party is expected to face some losses in states like Haryana and Rajasthan, it is making substantial gains in Telangana, Andhra Pradesh, Kerala, Odisha, and West Bengal.

The overall projections reinforce the BJP's position as a dominant force in Indian politics, potentially securing Narendra Modi's third consecutive term as Prime Minister.