As the campaign for the Karnataka Assembly Elections 2018 reached a feverish pitch, C fore has released third pre-poll survey on Monday. The pre-poll surveys, published in 2017 and 2018, do not differ significantly. In fact, surveys published between 2013 to 2018 were 99 percent accurate.
According to the survey conducted in various parts of Karnataka, Siddaramaiah-led Congress party will once again form the government in the state. For the third time, the C-fore has announced that the Congress will get a majority.
A comparative report on the two C fore survey published in 2017 and 2018
Survey in 2017
The survey was conducted between July 19 and August 10, 2017, in various constituencies of Karnataka.
- Interview with 24,679 voters of 165 selected assembly constituencies
- The respondents of different religions and castes were from 340 cities and 550 villages.
Survey in 2017
- Congress: 120-132
- BJP: 60-72
- JDS: 20-30
- Others: 1-7
The survey in March 2018
The survey was conducted between March 1, 2018, and March 25, 2018. A total of 22,357 voters from 154 assembly constituencies were interviewed. Voters belong to 2,368 polling booths in the state. A total of 326 urban and 977 rural areas are covered by the survey.
- Congress: 126
- BJP: 70
- JDS: 27-40
- Others: 1
C fore survey 2018
The survey was conducted between April 20-30, 2018 in 61 Assembly constituencies. Around 6,247 voters from various castes, religion and communities were interviewed. C fore prediction comes with 95 percent accuracy and has given 2 percent margin for error.
April 2018 survey
- Congress: 118-128
- BJP: 63-73
- JDS: 29-36
- Others: 2-7
|Karnataka Assembly Election dates|
|Date of notification||April 17|
|Last date to file nominations||April 24|
|Last date to withdraw nominations||April 27|
|Date of polling||May 12|
|Date of counting||May 15|