Exit Poll vs Exact Poll: Which Survey Got It Right?

Congress is coming back to power with a bang in Karnataka. The grand old party is likely to win about 135-140 seats, the trends indicate.

So, which pollster has got their prediction right, this time?

Several pollsters had predicted that the Congress will return to power in Karnataka in 2023. However, there was one survey that predicted the grand old party to bag 122-140 seats.

Well, it is India Today-Axis My India exit poll that got their numbers right. Not just for the Congress, but it had also stated that the BJP would win 66 seats and had given 22 seats to the JDS.

The early trends say that the BJP might win less than 65 seats while the JDS is being reduced to 20. The saffron party had won 104 seats in 2018 and the JDS had emerged victorious in 40 seats.

In 2023 polls, at least 14 ministers from the BJP has lost. Notably, V Somanna (Varuna and Chamrajanagar), Murugesh Nirani (Bilagi), Dr K Sudhakar (Chikkaballapur), JC Madhuswamy (Chikkanayakanahalli), BC Nagesh (Tiptur), BC Patil (Hirekerur) and Sriramulu (Ballari Rural).

What Other Poll Surveys Say?

On the other hand, the Congress has called a Legislative Party meeting on Saturday evening as the party expects to form a government in Karnataka. "We will brief the candidates about how to react. The high command will take decisions," said Congress chief Mallikarjun Kharge.

The party is likely to announce its CM face at the meeting in Bengaluru around 12 noon in Bangalore on Sunday.