Election Results 2026: Early Trends Show BJP Lead in Assam, Congress Ahead in Kerala, TVK Surprises in TN

Early counting trends for the 2026 Assembly elections across five states-Assam, Kerala, Puducherry, Tamil Nadu and West Bengal-are beginning to take shape, offering the first snapshot of how the political battle is unfolding.

With counting underway, initial leads indicate varied trends across regions, with no single pattern emerging nationwide.

Assam: BJP Takes Early Lead

In Assam, the Bharatiya Janata Party has surged ahead in early trends, leading in 52 seats out of 126. The Indian National Congress is trailing with leads in 15 seats, while regional players like BOPF and AGP are also registering presence.

The numbers suggest an early advantage for the BJP, though these are just initial trends and far from final.

Kerala: Congress-Led UDF Ahead

Kerala is showing a different picture, with the Congress leading in 49 seats in the 140-member Assembly. The Communist Party of India (Marxist) is behind with 29 leads, indicating an early edge for the UDF alliance.

IUML and CPI are also contributing to the contest, keeping the state's traditionally bipolar politics intact.

Puducherry: AINRC Leads, Tight Contest

In Puducherry, the All India NR Congress (AINRC) is ahead with 8 leads in the 30-member Assembly. Independent candidates and Congress are also in the race, pointing to a closely contested outcome in the Union Territory.

Tamil Nadu: TVK Emerges Strong in Early Trends

Tamil Nadu is witnessing an interesting trend, with TVK leading in 47 seats in the 234-member Assembly. The AIADMK follows with 44 leads, while the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam is currently at 20.

The early numbers suggest a competitive three-way contest, with smaller parties like PMK and Congress also opening their accounts.

West Bengal: BJP Ahead in Initial Leads

In West Bengal, the BJP is leading in 28 seats out of 294, while the All India Trinamool Congress is at 8. Smaller parties like BGPM have also registered early leads.

While the margins are still evolving, the early trend indicates a direct contest between BJP and TMC once again.

It is important to note that these figures represent early leads and not final results. As counting progresses through multiple rounds, the numbers are expected to shift significantly.

For now, the trends underline one thing clearly-each state is telling its own political story, and the final outcome is still wide open.