BJP vs TMC Neck To Neck Battle: Matrize Exit Poll Predicts Tight Contest In West Bengal Elections 2026

The latest exit poll released by Matrize presents a closely contested picture in the West Bengal Assembly Elections 2026, with both major parties locked in a tight race.

Seat Share Projection

According to the Matrize exit poll, the Bharatiya Janata Party is projected to secure between 146 and 161 seats, putting it ahead in the race for the 294-member Assembly.
The Trinamool Congress-led alliance is estimated to win 125 to 140 seats, indicating a strong but trailing position.

Other parties are expected to secure 6 to 10 seats, suggesting a limited role in the overall contest.

Vote Share Estimates

In terms of vote share, the poll indicates a narrow lead for the BJP with 42.5% of the votes.

The TMC+ alliance is projected to receive 40.8%, while other parties may account for 16.7% of the total vote share.

Majority Mark and Contest Outlook

The majority mark in the West Bengal Assembly stands at 148 seats. Based on the Matrize projection, the BJP appears to be close to or slightly above this mark, while the TMC+ alliance remains within striking distance.

The Matrize exit poll highlights a competitive electoral battle in West Bengal, with projections suggesting a narrow margin between the two main contenders. The final outcome, however, will be determined on counting day.