Karnataka Weather Alert: Is Bengaluru About To Receive Much-Needed Rain During These 5 Days?

Amid water crisis, Bengaluru residents can expect rainfall from mid-April, specifically around the 13th or 14th, following the Ugadi festival. The prediction comes from the Extended Range Forecast (ERF), which provides insights into weather patterns beyond the typical short-term forecasts.

Good news for Bengaluru

IMD ERF predicts rainfall for the city from mid April 13th/14th, post Yugadhi

So the long wait for #BengaluruRains are going to end very soon

Eagerly waiting 🤩❣️ pic.twitter.com/NcLMSz0qLD

— Karnataka Weather (@Bnglrweatherman) April 4, 2024

The water crisis in Bengaluru has been exacerbated by depleting groundwater levels, poor water management practices, and the failure of monsoons in recent years. Many areas in the city are already facing severe water scarcity, with residents relying on water tankers for their daily needs.

Yet another GFS forecast model, comes as a ray of hope for Bengaluru, offering the prospect of replenishing water sources and providing relief from the scorching summer heat. According to the GFS model, the rains are expected to start over parts of South Interior Karnataka (SIK) from April 14th, with estimates ranging from 30 to 40mm in Bengaluru, 60 to 70mm in Mysuru and Chamrajanagar district, and 80 to 90mm in Kodagu-DK-Udupi Ghats.

GFS Model predicting rains for Bengaluru from Mid April

Some good news :)

As per this model from 14th April the rains will start over parts of SIK.

Map from 4-April-2024 to 20-April-2024 shared below.
The estimate is:
Bengaluru : 30 to 40mm
Mysuru and Chamrajanagar district:… pic.twitter.com/rZWqX66rJc

— Namma Karnataka Weather (@namma_vjy) April 4, 2024

While the GFS model is not the most accurate, even a 50% realisation of these estimates by April 20th would be welcomed by residents. The normal April rainfall for Bengaluru is 40-50mm, and the predicted rains are increasingly hinting at the end of the city's long dry season in the third week of April.