Human impacts have managed to curtail fires in most areas in 20th century

Washington, September 22 : A new study of the last 2,000 years of charcoal evidence has suggested that human impacts have curtailed fires in most areas in the 20th century.

Though climate has been implicated by the study as a major driver of wildfires in the last 2,000 years, human activities, such as land clearance and fire suppression during the industrial era (since 1750) have created large swings in burning, first increasing fires until the late 1800s, and then dramatically reducing burning in the 20th century.

The study, by a nine-member team from seven institutions, led by Jennifer R. Marlon, a doctoral student in geography at the University of Oregon, analyzed 406 sedimentary charcoal records from lake beds on six continents.

The researchers found that a 100-year decline in wildfires worldwide - from 1870 to 1970 - was recorded despite increasing temperatures and population growth.

According to Marlon, "Based on the charcoal record, we believe the reduction in the amount of biomass burned during those 100 years can be attributed to a global expansion of agriculture and intensive grazing of livestock that reduced fuels plus general landscape fragmentation and fire-management efforts."

Charcoal levels have drawn attention during the past 25 years because these data can track wildfire activity - both incidence and severity - over long time periods, providing information when similar data from satellites or fire-scarred trees do not exist.

During the last 2,000 years, fire activity was highest between 1750 and 1870.

"This was a period when several factors combined to generate conditions favorable to wildfires," Marlon said.

"Population growth and European colonization caused massive changes in land cover, and human-induced increases in atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations may have started to increase biomass levels and fuels," she added.

From A.D. 1 to about 1750, wildfires worldwide declined from earlier years, probably resulting from a long-term global cooling trend that offset any possible influence of population growth and related land-use changes.

Researchers pointed to charcoal evidence in western North America as an example of this trend. Similar records also were found in Central America and tropical areas of South America.

In the western U.S. and in Asia, researchers noted, "initial colonization may have been marked by an increased use of fire for land clearance."

Subsequently, expansion of intensive agriculture and grazing, as well as forest management activities, likely reduced wildfire activity.

"Our results strongly suggest that climate change has been the main driver of global biomass burning for the past two millennia," the researchers concluded.

"The decline in biomass burning after A.D. 1870 is opposite to the expected effect of rising carbon dioxide and rapid warming, but contemporaneous with an unprecedentedly high rate of population increase," they said.

ANI