Wounded Japan PM sacks minister but is it too late?

By Staff
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TOKYO, Aug 1 (Reuters) Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe, seeking to soothe voter outrage over political corruption that contributed to a devastating election loss over the weekend, sacked his scandal-tainted farm minister.

Politicians and analysts said tosday's dismissal came too late to help improve the image of Abe, who has vowed to stay on despite the drubbing that cost his coalition its majority in parliament's upper house.

With no appealing candidates to replace him and polls showing the public split on whether he should go, the wounded leader looked likely to limp along, though one possible successor, Foreign Minister Taro Aso, said that while he backed Abe's decision to stay, he was ready to raise his hand if Abe quit.

Abe's coalition has a huge majority in the more powerful lower house of parliament, so his job is safe as long as he has backing from the ruling camp.

Abe accepted the resignation of Agriculture Minister Norihiko Akagi, who had been dogged by media reports over discrepancies in his political funding records since he was appointed in June following the suicide of his predecessor after another scandal.

''There were various reports about me in the media and this affected the election,'' Akagi -- the fourth minister to exit Abe's cabinet -- told reporters. ''It is undeniable that this was one reason for the defeat of the ruling coalition.

''I apologise deeply.'' Abe had come under fire during the election campaign for defending Akagi and other cabinet members who made missteps, and some lawmakers from his Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) said his move now was ill-timed.

''This is just another negative action,'' Yoichi Masuzoe, an outspoken LDP upper house lawmaker told reporters.

''The prime minister and people around him have lost the ability to make common-sense decisions.'' COLD COMFORT Criticised for packing his first cabinet with inexperienced cronies, Abe has pledged a new line-up but given no schedule.

Analysts, too, doubted he would benefit from the sacking.

''It's too late,'' said Toru Umemoto, a foreign exchange strategist for Barclays Capital. ''It's reactive, not proactive.'' The prime minister may, however, take some comfort from the fact that his support rates haven't plunged.

About 47 per cent of respondents to a poll by the liberal Asahi newspaper said Abe should resign, while 40 per cent wanted him to stay. The conservative Yomiuri newspaper found 44 per cent supported Abe while 45 percent said he should go.

Figures for Abe's support rate ranged from 26 percent in the Asahi survey -- the lowest since he took office in September -- to 32 percent in the Yomiuri poll, down about five points.

The 52-year-old Abe took office 10 months ago promising to revise Japan's pacifist constitution and restore traditional values -- priorities that now appear out of sync with voters' concerns about pocket-book issues such as pensions.

SUCCESSOR SHORTAGE Perhaps even more telling was a Nikkei survey showing likely LDP successors to Abe have even less support among voters.

''If Abe says he won't quit, no one can force him to go,'' said independent commentator Hirotaka Futatsuki.

''They really have no alternatives.'' Opposition Democratic Party leader Ichiro Ozawa topped a list of politicians seen by voters as suitable prime ministers, but with just 18 percent compared to 14 percent for Abe.

Abe's predecessor, the charismatic Junichiro Koizumi, got 12 percent, but many analysts dismissed the notion that he might be tempted to make a comeback.

Aso, an outspoken hawk long considered a frontrunner to replace Abe, got just 5 percent, but said he was ready to make another run for the post if the LDP held a presidential election.

''We should support his decision, although there are various opinions within the party,'' Aso told reporters in Manila, where he is attending an Asian foreign ministers' gathering.

''If there is an election for LDP president, I have a will to run as I have run before. That's what I have been saying.'' REUTERS AE HT1417

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