ODI World Cup 2023: Semi-Final Qualification Scenarios Of Teams After South Africa Vs New Zealand Match

The ICC Cricket World Cup 2023 is entering a crucial juncture as the battle of the semi-final qualification in the ten-team competition is heating up. With thrilling performances and surprising upsets, the tournament has kept fans hooked.

In match number 32 of the tournament, South Africa defeated New Zealand by a margin of 190 runs and climbed to the top of team standings with 12 points in seven games. The hammering against Proteas is turned out to be New Zealand's third straight defeat in the tournament.

The Blackcaps - who suffered a massive drop in their net run rate following the massive hammering against South Africa - have slipped to the fourth position in the points table. They have eight points in seven games now and their next game against Pakistan, who are sitting at the fifth spot, will be crucial one.

If Pakistan defeat New Zealand at M Chinnaswamy Stadium in Bengaluru on Saturday (November 4), they will bring themselves in the semi-final race while the latter's chances of qualification will take a beating.

ICC Cricket World Cup 2023: All Teams Qualification Scenarios

Let us take a look at the current chances of the participating teams to make it to the semi-finals as India and South Africa - who will be facing each other on November 5 - look certain to book the semi-final berth.

India - 99.9%: Team India, led by their in-form captain, Rohit Sharma, stands as one of the favorites to clinch a semi-final spot with a staggering 99.9% probability. With a blend of experienced and young talent, the Indian team has shown remarkable consistency and determination.

South Africa - 99.8%: Led by Temba Bavuma, South Africa, known for their competitive spirit and strong cricketing traditions, holds a 99.8% chance of advancing to the semi-finals. The Proteas have demonstrated their prowess and they are in a rampaging form.

Australia - 75%: Pat Cummins-led side started the tournament on a dismal note with two defeats but Australian, with its rich cricketing history and multiple World Cup victories, boasts a 75% probability of securing a semi-final berth. The Aussies - who jumped to the third spot after New Zealand's defeat against South Africa - have shown their mettle and remain a force to be reckoned with in the tournament.

New Zealand - 60%: New Zealand, the runners-up in the previous two World Cups, still have a 60% chance of making it to the semi-finals. The Kiwis are known for their teamwork and adaptability, making them strong contenders in this edition. However, the Blackcaps seem to be losing their winning touch at the business end of the league stage.

Afghanistan - 35%: The spirited Afghanistan, the rising cricketing nation, team have a 35% probability of reaching the semi-finals. Their remarkable journey in the tournament has already won them many admirers, and they continue to surprise and impress. The Hashmatullah Shahidi-led side has already pulled off a few upsets and will be eager to produce a few more in their remaining games to keep their hopes alive.

Pakistan - 15%: The Babar Azam-led side gave itself a fresh lease of life after winning against Bangladesh but winning their remaining games alone won't assure them a spot in the semi-finals. Pakistan - who will be heavily dependent upon the result of teams above theam in team standings - are known for its unpredictability.

They face a 15% chance of reaching the semi-finals. The mercurial nature of their performances keeps fans and analysts intrigued, and they could be a wildcard in the competition.

Sri Lanka - 8%: Sri Lanka, the 1996 World Cup champions, hold an 8% probability of advancing to the semi-finals. The island nation has had a forgettable run in the global showpiece right from the start. They secured a memorable win against defending champions England but lacked consistency in their campaign, which cost them dearly.

Netherlands - 7%: The Netherlands came into the tournament underdogs but impressed one and all with their game. The Dutch have pulled off some big wins and produced some of the best performances from Associate Nations in the ODI World Cup in the last three editions.

The Scott Edwards-led side has a 7% chance of making it to the semi-finals. Their performance in the competition added an element of surprise and unpredictability. The Dutch side proved they can be a good team in the coming years, given the right guidance and support.

England - 0.3%: England, the 2019 World Cup winners, are all but out of the semi-final race and have slim chance of 0.3% for semi-final qualification. The Jos Buttler-led side's struggles in the 2023 edition have left them with a challenging path.

Bangladesh - ELIMINATED: With no chances remaining, Bangladesh, became the first team to be eliminated from the semis race. The Bangla Tigers who have made significant progress in recent years failed to put up a show in this edition under the leadership of their legendary captain Shakib Al Hasan. They will have to reflect on their performance in this World Cup.

As the competition intensifies and teams battle for supremacy, fans can only watch in anticipation, hoping for unforgettable moments, outstanding performances, and the unexpected twists and turns that make cricket a sport like no other.