Too Good To Be True? Axis My India Predicts Vijay’s TVK Set To Form Government In Tamil Nadu

The latest exit poll by Axis My India for the Tamil Nadu Assembly Elections 2026 suggests a closely contested election, with actor-turned-politician Vijay's party emerging as the frontrunner.

Seat Projections: TVK Takes the Lead

According to the survey, Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam is projected to win between 98 and 120 seats in the 234-member Assembly. This places the party ahead of its rivals and within reach of the majority mark of 118 seats.

The Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam is expected to secure 92 to 110 seats, indicating a strong performance but slightly behind TVK in the projections.

Meanwhile, the All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam is projected to win 22 to 32 seats, suggesting a limited but notable presence in the Assembly.

Other parties are not expected to secure seats, according to this exit poll.

Major Meeting on Victory Scheduled Tomorrow

Political activity in Tamil Nadu is gaining momentum, and amid this, Vijay is set to hold an important meeting.

The meeting with candidates of his party, Tamil Nadu Vetri Kazhagam, will take place in Chennai on April 30 and is being seen as highly significant.

This comes at a time when polling for all 234 seats in the state was completed on April 23, and attention has now shifted to the counting of votes on May 4. Meanwhile, an exit poll by Axis My India (in collaboration with India Today) has predicted a strong performance for Vijay's party.

This election is particularly important as it marks the first time Vijay's party has entered the Assembly elections, fielding candidates in 233 constituencies.

Vijay's Debut Election Draws Attention

This election marks the first electoral outing for Vijay and his party, TVK. The exit poll projections indicate that the party has made a significant impact in its debut, quickly positioning itself as a major political force in the state.

Majority Mark Keeps Outcome Open

With the majority mark set at 118 seats, the upper range of TVK's projection suggests it could form the government on its own. However, the lower end of the estimate indicates that the party may fall short, keeping the final outcome uncertain.

Campaign Challenges in Focus

The campaign period also saw setbacks, including the Karur stampede incident, which is considered a significant challenge during the election. Such developments may have influenced voter sentiment in certain areas.

Final Results Awaited

While the Axis My India exit poll points to a lead for TVK, exit polls are only indicative. The final results on counting day - on May 4, will determine whether Vijay's party can convert this lead into a decisive mandate or if the contest remains closer than expected.