Opinion Poll For Kerala Assembly Election 2026: Ldf Strength In Kannur And Kasaragod

The Kerala Assembly polls 2026 survey maps district level projections, showing LDF leads in Kasaragod and Kannur, UDF gains in Kozhikode and Malappuram, and mixed outcomes in Wayanad and Kannur, with NDA influence largely marginal. The results emphasise district level shifts and potential seat distribution across northern Kerala.

The Manorama News-C-Voter Kerala Assembly polls 2026 survey points to a mixed picture in north Kerala, with the Left Democratic Front (LDF) retaining clear strength in Kasaragod and Kannur, while the United Democratic Front (UDF) is placed ahead in Wayanad and strongly favoured in Malappuram, with Kozhikode turning competitive.

According to the Kerala Assembly polls 2026 survey, the UDF appears better positioned than in 2021 in several districts, especially Kozhikode and Malappuram. The National Democratic Alliance (NDA) shows pockets of influence but remains largely on the margins in seat projections across these northern districts.

Kasargod trends in Kerala Assembly polls 2026 survey

Kasaragod, which has five Assembly constituencies, is forecast to tilt towards the LDF in seats, though not in vote share. The survey suggests the LDF may capture between two and four constituencies, with the UDF projected between one and three seats, while the NDA ranges from zero to one.

Despite the LDF’s seat edge in Kasaragod under the Kerala Assembly polls 2026 survey, the UDF is projected to lead the district’s popular vote. The UDF is placed at 39%, slightly above its 2021 level. The LDF is expected to secure 34%, about four percentage points lower than last time.

Manjeshwar and Peravoor contests in Kerala Assembly polls 2026 survey

Manjeshwar in Kasaragod district remains crucial for the NDA, as BJP’s former state president K Surendran contests again. Surendran had fallen short by only 745 votes in the previous Assembly election. Yet the survey indicates that UDF nominee A K M Ashraf of the Muslim League is likely to hold the seat.

The Kerala Assembly polls 2026 survey also flags a close race in Peravoor, in Kannur district. Here, Congress leader Sunny Joseph is shown with a narrow advantage over former Health Minister K K Shailaja of the LDF. The contest is described as tight, with neither side assured of victory.

Kannur outlook in Kerala Assembly polls 2026 survey

Kannur district, long an LDF stronghold, is projected to continue favouring the Left in the Kerala Assembly polls 2026 survey. Out of 11 seats, the LDF may win between 6 and 8. The UDF is expected to claim 3 to 5 constituencies, while the NDA again sees no seats.

On vote share in Kannur under the Kerala Assembly polls 2026 survey, the LDF is estimated at 43%, ahead of the UDF’s 37%. The NDA’s share could reach around 13%, with other parties and independents together accounting for roughly 7% of the district’s votes.

Wayanad, Kozhikode and Malappuram in Kerala Assembly polls 2026 survey

The Kerala Assembly polls 2026 survey indicates strong prospects for the UDF in Wayanad’s three constituencies. The front is projected to secure between two and three seats. The LDF may win at most one seat, while the NDA is not expected to open its account in the district.

Vote share figures for Wayanad in the Kerala Assembly polls 2026 survey place the UDF far ahead at 45%. The LDF is projected at 33%. The NDA may obtain around 16% of votes, while others and independent candidates together are expected to draw about 6%.

Kozhikode shows a shift compared with 2021 in the Kerala Assembly polls 2026 survey. The LDF, which had captured 11 of 13 seats earlier, is now projected to win between 6 and 8 constituencies. The UDF, with only two seats last time, may rise to between 5 and 7 seats, while the NDA remains seatless.

In Kozhikode’s vote share estimates from the Kerala Assembly polls 2026 survey, the UDF is forecast to edge past the LDF with 40%. The LDF is close behind at 39%. The NDA is projected to secure about 14% of votes, with others and independents near 7%.

Malappuram stands out as a strong UDF bastion in the Kerala Assembly polls 2026 survey. In the 16-seat district, the UDF is projected to win between 14 and 16 constituencies. The LDF may be restricted to between zero and two seats, and the NDA is again not expected to win any.

Malappuram’s vote share estimates in the Kerala Assembly polls 2026 survey underline this dominance. The UDF stands at 49%, with the LDF at 34%. The NDA is expected to gain around 10%, while others and independents together may account for nearly 7% of votes across the district.

Across these northern districts, the Kerala Assembly polls 2026 survey points to continued LDF strength in Kannur and a seats advantage in Kasaragod, strong UDF gains in Kozhikode, and clear UDF leads in Wayanad and Malappuram, with the NDA largely confined to limited vote share improvements rather than projected seats.