NDA Set to Retain Power in Bihar With 142–162 Seats, Predicts P-Marq Exit Poll 2025

The P-Marq Exit Poll 2025 has forecast a strong performance for the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) in the Bihar Assembly Elections, indicating that the ruling coalition is likely to retain power with a clear majority.

According to the survey, the NDA is projected to win between 142 and 162 seats, while the Mahagathbandhan (MGB) is expected to secure 80 to 98 seats. The Jan Suraaj Party (JSP) may win between 1 and 4 seats, and Others could get 0 to 3 seats.

Seat Projection (P-Marq Exit Poll 2025):

NDA: 142-162

Mahagathbandhan (MGB): 80-98

Jan Suraaj Party (JSP): 1-4

Others: 0-3

NDA Holds a Clear Edge

The P-Marq survey suggests that the BJP-JD(U)-led NDA continues to enjoy voter confidence, maintaining a comfortable lead over the opposition. With these numbers, the NDA would easily cross the majority mark of 122 seats in the 243-member Bihar Assembly.

The Mahagathbandhan, spearheaded by the RJD and Congress, is projected to fall short of expectations, despite strong campaigning and attempts to capitalise on anti-incumbency sentiments.

JSP Makes a Minor Entry

For the first time, the Jan Suraaj Party (JSP) - led by former bureaucrat Pawan Varma and political strategist Prashant Kishor - is projected to register its presence in the Bihar Assembly with 1 to 4 seats, marking a modest but notable debut.

Verdict on November 14

If these projections hold true, the NDA is on course to form the government once again, reinforcing Chief Minister Nitish Kumar's political influence and Prime Minister Narendra Modi's statewide appeal. The final outcome, however, will be known only when votes are counted on November 14.