MP Elections 2023: Check Out If It's BJP Or Congress For Various Castes In Latest Opinion Polls

As the anticipation builds for the Madhya Pradesh elections scheduled for 17th November, a diverse and dynamic political landscape is taking shape. The India TV-CNX Opinion Poll provides insight into how various castes are likely to align themselves with different political parties, setting the stage for a closely contested electoral battle.

While the ruling BJP party led by Madhya Pradesh Chief Minister Shivraj Singh Chouhan has an edge amongst various castes including Brahmin, Kirar-Dhakad, Jatav-Satnami, Kurmi, Yadav, Bania, and Rajput, the Congress party has emerged to become the first choice for Muslims and Bheel community in the poll bound state, results for which are set to be announced on 3rd December.

According to a report in Livemint, earlier predictions by ABP-CVoter Opinion Poll had foreseen a closely contested battle between the ruling Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) and the opposition Congress, with only a marginal lead for the saffron party. According to the poll data, the BJP finds itself with a slim lead of just 0.1% over the Congress in poll-bound Madhya Pradesh.

The survey data suggests that the Congress could secure a range of 113 to 125 seats out of the total 230 constituencies in Madhya Pradesh. Meanwhile, the BJP is predicted to win between 104 to 116 seats.

MP ELECTIONS 2023: WHAT PARTY VARIOUS COMMUNITIES CHOSE?

1. Brahmin voters: An overwhelming 80% are expected to support the BJP, with only 12% leaning toward Congress and 8% considering other parties.

2. Bania voters: A significant 68% are likely to cast their vote for the BJP, while Congress may secure 14% of their votes, leaving 18% for other political contestants.

3. Rajput voters: This community leans heavily toward the BJP, with 72% likely to choose the saffron party. Congress is expected to receive 12% of Rajput votes, while 16% may opt for alternative candidates.

4. Kurmi voters: Approximately 54% may favor the BJP, while 41% are expected to support Congress, leaving 5% for other political players.

5. Yadav voters: In Madhya Pradesh, around 47% of Yadav voters may cast their ballots for the BJP, with 35% of the Yadav community people likely to choose the grand old party. The poll data reveals that 18% of voters are expected to vote for other political parties.

6. OBC voters: A significant 56% are likely to vote for the BJP in Madhya Pradesh, with 32% considering Congress, while 12% of OBC votes may go to other parties.

7. Kirar-Dhakad voters: About 84% of the Kirar-Dhakad community is expected to vote for the BJP in the poll-bound state. On the other hand, Congress may only get 15% of Kirar-Dhakad votes.

8. Bheel voters: The opinion poll predicts that around 54% of Bheel voters are likely to support the Congress party in Madhya Pradesh, with the BJP securing 35% of Bheel people's votes. Other political parties are likely to secure nearly 11% of the Bheel community's votes.

9. Jatav-Satnami voters: The poll data states that Jatav-Satnami voters are closely divided between BJP and Congress. The saffron party may receive 45% of the votes from this community, and the grand old party is likely to secure 42% of Jatav-Satnami votes, with 13% considering other parties.

10. Muslim voters: The India TV-CNX Opinion Poll predicts that a significant 87% of Muslim voters will back the Congress party in Madhya Pradesh, while only 2% will support the ruling BJP. The remaining 11% are likely to choose other parties.

11. Other Dalit voters: The poll data suggests that the BJP is expected to receive the support of around 44% of other Dalit voters, while the Congress may secure only 40% of their votes. The remaining 16% of other Dalit votes may go to other political players.