Matrize–IANS Exit Poll 2025: NDA Poised for Big Win in Bihar, Mahagathbandhan Trails Behind

The Matrize-IANS Exit Poll 2025 has projected a comfortable victory for the NDA in the Bihar Assembly Elections, suggesting that the ruling alliance is set to retain power with a strong majority.

According to the survey, the NDA is likely to win between 147 and 167 seats, while the Mahagathbandhan (MGB) may secure around 70-90 seats. The Jan Suraaj Party (JSP) is expected to get 2 seat, and Others may manage around 6 seats.

Seat Projection (Matrize-IANS Exit Poll 2025):

NDA: 147-167

Mahagathbandhan (MGB): 70-90

Jan Suraaj Party (JSP): 2

Others: 6

NDA Maintains Strong Lead

If these projections hold true, the BJP-JD(U)-led NDA could comfortably cross the majority mark of 122 seats in the 243-member Assembly, reaffirming voter confidence in the coalition's governance and development agenda.

The Mahagathbandhan, comprising the RJD, Congress, and Left parties, appears to have fallen short in converting anti-incumbency sentiments into votes, particularly in regions where the NDA consolidated its base.

What It Means for Bihar Politics

The Matrize-IANS survey suggests that Chief Minister Nitish Kumar may play a pivotal role once again, with his leadership seen as a stabilising factor for the NDA. Meanwhile, the opposition faces an uphill task to regain lost ground despite efforts to project a united front under the INDIA bloc banner.

While exit polls offer an early glimpse into voter sentiment, the final results on November 14 will determine whether these predictions translate into actual numbers.