Lok Sabha Poll Prediction: Will INDIA Bloc Face Defeat LS Polls 2024? Congress Expected To Lose More Seat

In the upcoming Lok Sabha elections scheduled in seven phases beginning on April 19, Prime Minister Narendra Modi's bid for a third term is predicted not to be significantly challenged by the opposition bloc INDIA, including Congress.

Recent opinion polls suggest that the INDIA alliance is expected to secure 94 seats, while the BJP-led NDA is projected to win 399 constituencies.

Will INDIA Bloc Face Defeat LS Polls 2024? Check India TV-CNX Opinion Poll

According to the India TV-CNX Opinion Poll, it is likely that 342 seats will be secured by the BJP, with Congress expected to secure 38 seats, Trinamool Congress 19 Lok Sabha seats, Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) 18 constituencies, Janata Dal (United) 14, Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) 6, Samajwadi Party (SP) 3, Telugu Desam Party (TDP) 12, and others 91 seats.

The Congress' seat count could see a further decline this time, considering the party's victory of 52 Lok Sabha seats in the 2019 general elections, as reported by Mint.

According to the pre-poll survey, it has been suggested that Congress and Bahujan Samaj Party (BJP) might not secure any seats in Uttar Pradesh, while 73 seats are projected to be won by the BJP, with its alliance partners RLD and Apna Dal (S) expected to secure two seats each.

In various states like Bihar, Chhattisgarh, Maharashtra, Manipur, Meghalaya, West Bengal, and Lakshadweep, Congress may only manage to secure one seat. The opinion poll predicts that the grand old party may also face zero wins in Jammu and Kashmir, Uttar Pradesh, and Assam.

Regional parties including TMC, DMK, YSRCP, TDP, and BJD are anticipated to win a significant number of seats in their respective states. TMC may secure 19 seats in West Bengal, DMK 18 seats in Tamil Nadu, BJD 11 seats in Odisha, and YSRCP and TDP are expected to secure 10 and 12 seats respectively in Andhra Pradesh, as reported by Mint.

However, Sonia Gandhi-led Congress is expected to perform better in other states. It is estimated to win 7 seats in Kerala, 4 in Karnataka, 3 in Punjab, 8 in Tamil Nadu, and 9 in Telangana.

It should be noted that a political party or coalition needs to secure at least 272 seats out of the 543-member Lok Sabha. In the 2019 general elections, the Bharatiya Janata Party won 290 seats, and the NDA's total seat count stood at 346 constituencies, as per media reports.