Lakhisarai Constituency: Bihar Deputy CM Vijay Kumar Sinha Vs Congress' Amresh Kumar

The Lakhisarai assembly constituency is set to witness an intense battle with BJP's Deputy Chief Minister Vijay Kumar Sinha eyeing his fourth consecutive victory.

The Lakhisarai assembly constituency is part of Munger Lok Sabha and has seen a stronger showing for the BJP in the last decade.

It comprises Blocks Ramgarh Chowk, Halsi & Barahiya; Gram Panchayats Amahara, Morma, Balgudar, Savikpur, Kachhiyana, Bilauri, Damodarpur & Lakhisarai (M) of Lakhisarai CD Block.

In the 2020 election, Vijay Kumar Sinha (BJP) won with around 74,212 votes, defeating the Congress candidate by about 10,483 votes.

Congress has fielded Amresh Kumar. Also, several new faces are in the fray including from Prashant Kishor's Jan Suraaj Party.

Key factors

• Incumbency + ministerial visibility give the BJP/NDA a strong structural base.
• The opposition needs to bridge the urban-rural divide, and mobilise effectively in the rural/SC/EBC segments.
• Past data show BJP's dominance in more urban/upper-caste parts and RJD's strength in rural/SC/EBC pockets.
• Anti-incumbency, local unemployment and mining are major issues here. Also, infrastructure, water, drainage, and rural development matter the most.

Edge: NDA has the upper hand. Given the incumbency and BJP's strong local network in Lakhisarai, Vijay Kumar Sinha is favorite to win again unless there is a major anti-incumbency wave or alliance realignment.

Polling for the 243-seat Bihar Assembly is scheduled to be held in two phases on November 6 and November 11. The counting will be held on November 14.