Dry spell ahead, Skymet predicts below normal monsoon for India

According to the premier met site, there is 0 per cent chance of excess rainfall, and a 10 per cent chance of above normal seasonal rainfall

India is looking at a Monsoon deficit if Skymet Weather's prediction is anything to go by. The premier met site predicted that monsoon in 2017 is likely to remain below normal at 95 per cent with an error margin of ±5 percent of the long period average period. The average rainfall for the four months of monsoon between June and September is 887 mm, but a deficit is being predicted.

According to Skymet Weather, there is 0 per cent chance of excess rainfall while there is a 10 per cent chance of above normal seasonal rainfall. There is a 50 per cent chance of normal rainfall while 25 per cent chance of below normal rainfall. Chances of drought have been predicted as 15 per cent in the case of rainfall being less than 90 per cent of the long period average.

On the monthly scale, Skymet predicts 164 mm rainfall in June, 289 mm rainfall in July, 261 mm rainfall in August and 173 mm rainfall in September. July, August and September face a chance of below normal rainfall up to 30 per cent. The above-mentioned numbers are monsoon probabilities predicted by Skymet Weather.

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