Bihar Exit Poll 2025: NDA Poised for Majority as CM Race Remains Tight, Says People's Pulse Survey

As the dust settles on the 2025 Bihar Assembly elections, conducted in two phases across the state's 243 constituencies, the People's Pulse Exit Poll paints a picture of a decisive tilt in favour of the National Democratic Alliance (NDA).

With a projected vote share of 46.2%, the NDA is expected to secure between 133 and 159 seats-comfortably crossing the halfway mark of 122 needed to form the government.

The Mahagathbandhan, led by the RJD and Congress, trails with 37.9% of the vote and a projected 75 to 101 seats. Meanwhile, Prashant Kishor's Jan Suraaj, despite garnering a notable 9.7% vote share, is expected to make only a marginal dent in terms of seats, with a projection of 0 to 5.

CM Face-Off: A Neck-and-Neck Contest

While the NDA appears to have the electoral edge, the race for the most preferred Chief Minister remains fiercely competitive. According to the People's Pulse survey:

• Tejashwi Yadav leads the popularity chart with 32% support.
• Nitish Kumar, the incumbent and NDA's veteran face, follows closely at 30%.
• Prashant Kishor and Chirag Paswan each command 8%, signaling emerging appeal among specific voter segments.

What Lies Ahead

If the projections hold true, the NDA is set to return to power with a comfortable majority, reaffirming its organizational strength and voter base across Bihar. However, the close contest in CM preferences suggests that leadership narratives and public perception will continue to shape Bihar's political discourse in the months to come.

The counting of votes for the elections held in two phases in Bigar will be done on November 14.