Bihar Exit Poll 2025: Chanakya Strategies Predicts Comfortable Majority for NDA

The Chanakya Strategies Exit Poll has projected a decisive victory for the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) in the Bihar Assembly Election 2025, signaling a strong mandate for Chief Minister Nitish Kumar and his allies. According to the survey, the NDA is likely to secure 130 to 138 seats, while the Mahagathbandhan (MGB), led by RJD's Tejashwi Yadav, may manage 100 to 108 seats. Other parties are expected to win 2 to 3 seats.

If the projections hold true, the results will mark yet another successful electoral outing for the NDA in Bihar, reinforcing its political dominance in the state.

Party-Wise Seat Projections

Within the NDA, the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) is expected to emerge as the largest party, winning between 70 and 75 seats, followed by the Janata Dal (United) with 52 to 57 seats. The Lok Janshakti Party (Ram Vilas) (LJP-R) could secure 14 to 19 seats, while smaller allies like the Hindustani Awam Morcha (HAM) and Rashtriya Lok Morcha (RLM) are projected to win 0-2 and 2-3 seats, respectively.

On the opposition side, the Rashtriya Janata Dal (RJD) is likely to bag 75 to 80 seats, continuing to be the Mahagathbandhan's anchor. The Congress may secure 17 to 23 seats, while Vikassheel Insaan Party (VIP) is expected to get 7 to 9 seats. The Left parties, which contested on select seats, are projected to perform modestly with 10 to 16 seats.

NDA Maintains Edge Amid Close Contest

The Chanakya poll suggests that while the Mahagathbandhan campaigned vigorously on promises of employment, inflation control, and change, it could not significantly dent the NDA's consolidated base. Analysts believe that Nitish Kumar's governance model and the BJP's organizational strength have once again worked in the alliance's favor.

For the RJD-led opposition, the results indicate a strong presence but possibly insufficient momentum to cross the majority mark. Tejashwi Yadav's push to woo first-time voters and youth may reflect in improved vote shares, though not necessarily in seat conversion.

Final Verdict on November 14

The official results will be announced on November 14, 2025, when the counting of votes takes place. As Bihar awaits the verdict, all eyes will be on whether the NDA's projected lead by Chanakya Strategies translates into another term in power or if the Mahagathbandhan springs a last-minute surprise.