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Fishing in troubled waters: Independents to gain ground in Maha polls
A few days back two alliances -one a 25-year-old saffron alliance and the other a 15-year-old Congress-NCP snapped their ties.
This development could prove to be a bonanza for the smaller parties and the Independents.
This fractured contest where all the majors will test their own strength, have given the Independents a chance to show their might in October 15 elections. The Independents could act as spoiler in the polls.
Whooping
number
of
Independents
in
fray
Nearly
three
times
the
number
of
Independents
are
expected
to
try
their
luck
as
compared
to
last
Assembly
polls.
A
total
7,666
candidates
have
filed
their
nominations,
three-quarter
of
them
are
Independents
or
from
less-known
parties.
In the 2009 Assembly polls, about 1,820 Independents contested and won 24 seats. They got more than 15% of the votes which was significantly more than the smaller parties like the RPI or MNS.
Independents key players in sharply divided contest
As all the four majors have decided to go alone in the polls, the vote share is likely to be divided among more contenders. This will also reduce the margin of the victory in many seats. Under such situation, the votes polled by the Independent candidates could decide the outcome.
In the 2009 Assembly polls, the winning margin in at least 15 constituencies was less than 3,000.
Also, the divided votes could also lead to the victory of Independents in some seats.
Moreover, in case of a hung Assembly, the winning Independent candidates will play a crucial in the formation of the next Government.
Previous trend
In the 2009 election, about 1,820 Independents contested and won 24 seats. In 2004, 19 Independents became MLAs and in 1999, 12 won the elections. Independents scored the highest number in 1995 winning in 45 constituencies and grabbing almost a quarter of the votes cast.
