Doval-Jaishankar patience paid off in Nepal
Pushpa Kumar Dahal (Prachanda) is set to be the next Prime Minister of Nepal. This comes as a major relief to India which had shared a cold relationship with former prime minister K.P. Oli thanks to his China tilt.
Oli in his outgoing speech had blamed "external forces," for his ouster. The stage is set for Prachanda to take over as PM, but the process may take a few weeks as Nepal's President will likely ask its Parliament to elect a new PM by consensus.
Who are the "external forces" Oli blamed?
Oli, without naming anyone, said Nepal is being developed as a laboratory and foreign elements are conspiring to ensure that the Himalayan nation's new Constitution is not implemented. Clearly, Oli was pointing fingers at India. But did India have a role in his ouster?
Highly
placed
sources
say
Oli
is
making
false
allegations
to
cover
up
his
own
failure.
The
writing
was
on
the
wall
from
the
time
he
took
over
and
handled
the
Madhesi
protest
in
a
ham-handed
manner.
"His style of functioning was bound to fail. We always only said that the Constitution of Nepal needs to be inclusive", the top Indian official said.
For India, though, the fall of Oli is more than welcome. His anti-Indian sentiment led him to treat Madhesis, who constitute 51 per cent of the population of Nepal, inequitably. This led to crippling blockades along the Indo-Nepal border.
Instead of resolving their issues, Oli sought to show India that he could instead rely on Chinese help to run the country. His confidence bolstered by a few trucks of petroleum shipments from China, Oli went on to project his anti-India sentiment across the country, leaving a majority of Nepalese unhappy.
In India, the Modi government had come in for severe criticism over its handling of the Nepal issue. "We watched the developments all through, but it was patience that paid off", the official added.
India
had
a
two
pronged
approach
in
Nepal.
A
change
of
government
as
well
as
ensuring
that
the
Madhesis
get
their
constitutional
rights,
but
in
contrast
to
Oli's
high-pitched
anti-India
tirade,
India
decided
to
be
mellow
and
discreet.
Key
to
this
approach
were
National
Security
Adviser
Ajit
Doval
and
Foreign
Secretary
S.
Jaishankar.
Neither will India get too proactive now, the official said. It will continue to play a wait and watch game, while working on improving relations with the new regime.
Will Prachanda be more friendly?
China has built up anti-India rhetoric and sentiment in Nepal over a period of time. In fact, at one point of time, it had managed to change even Prachanda's mind about India. Prachanda, however, realised that ground realities were that a majority of Nepalese were not in favour of China's role in their country.
He also realised that the growing anti-Oli sentiment was due to the latter's proximity to China and his cold vibes towards India. Indeed, as Oli began to appear shaky, China even sent in a team to steady his hold over power by intervening between him and his political partners. The Chinese intervention failed, however.
India does have a lot more hope in Prachanda. He is seen as far more balanced in his foreign policy as well as his view of India's role. He has also made it clear that he was unhappy with Oli's handling of the Madhesi crisis and his tilt towards China.
OneIndia News