Tamil Nadu Lok Sabha Predictions: Annamalai-Led BJP Shock AIADMK? Check Exit Poll Results

Several pre-poll surveys had indicated that the BJP is set to spring a surprise in Tamil Nadu in the 2024 Lok Sabha elections.

The saffron party had drawn a blank in the 2019 Lok Sabha elections while winning just one seat in the 2014 polls. However, the BJP has been trying hard to make inroads in the land of Dravidian politics.

Since the appointment of former IPS officer K. Annamalai as the state BJP Chief, the party has managed to make some impact on Tamil Nadu politics. The BJP has been positioning itself as the primary opposition in the state.

Pre-poll surveys indicate that the BJP could achieve a double-digit vote share this time and might win as many as 4-5 seats on its own. The party has set its sights on key constituencies, including Coimbatore and Kanniyakumari.

The BJP has also formed alliances with smaller parties such as Dr. Ramdoss' Pattali Makkal Katchi (PMK), TTV Dhinakaran's Amma Makkal Munnetra Kazhagam (AMMK), and GK Vasan-led Tamil Maanila Congress (Moopanar).

Some surveys had claimed that the BJP might get more vote share than the AIADMK while the DMK and the Congress will win maximum number of seats.

What the exit polls say?

As per Axis My India exit poll, the DMK is winning 20-22 seats and its ally Congress is winning 6-8 seats. The BJP is highly likely to open its account by bagging 1-3 seats, while the AIADMK will be reduced to 0-2 seats.

In terms of percentage-wise seat share, the NDA is projected to win 22%, the INDIA bloc 46%, AIADMK 21%, and others 11%.

The ABP CVoter Exit poll findings suggest that the BJP alliance may gain 0-2 seats, with the AIADMK alliance projected to secure 0 seats. The I.N.D.I.A bloc is anticipated to sweep the state, winning between 28-36 seats.

According to CNN Exit Poll, the INDIA bloc is predicted to win 36-30 seats while the NDA is expected to bag 1-3 seats followed by the AIADMK which is expected to bag 0-2 seats.

The Jan Ki Baat exit poll projects that the NDA could win five seats in Tamil Nadu. Also, three other exit polls - ABP News-C Voter, India News-D Dynamic, and TV 9 Bharatvarsh-Polstrat - also indicate that the NDA is likely to win at least one seat in the state.

India TV-CNX offers the most optimistic projection for the BJP's coalition, estimating a range of five to seven seats.