The attack today at Udhampur is a clear indicator that Pakistan based militants will continue to attack on Indian soil with a great deal of audacity. The Gurdaspur attack which occurred last week was meant to derail talks between the National Security Advisors of India and Pakistan.
However India decided to stay firm and not call off the talks. While this move by India was appreciated by many, Intelligence Bureau officials and security analysts warned that Pakistan will continue to stage more attacks with greater audacity. [J&K attack: Terrorist in his early 20s is unapologetic]
Expect audacious attacks:
The attacks at Gurdaspur last week and now Udhampur show that the terrorists from Paksitan are carrying out strikes with much more audacity. They are getting bolder and attempting to carry out strikes with a long lasting impression.
Former Chief of the Research and Analysis Wing, C D Sahay tells OneIndia that the attacks are likely to get more audacious. They are looking to carry out attacks which have a lasting impression and will get media coverage.
Driving India to call off talks:
Sahay says," that it has always been noticed that ahead of any talks between India and Pakistan, terrorist strikes have gone up. India. We have always been driven to a point to call off the talks. Once India calls off the talks, Pakistan goes to town with this.
Why blame only the ISI and the Pakistan army? After every terror attack, we are quick to blame the Pakistan army and the ISI. While there is no doubting that the establishment is behind each and every attack that emerges out of Pakistan, one must stop and think about the intent of the democratically elected government too.
There is a democratically elected government in Pakistan and the question that needs to be asked here is whether it is really interested in engaging with India? Talks with India would mean answering questions and does the government in Paksitan have all the answers?
Does the political leadership want to engage in talks in a meaningful way? Pakistan will ensure no talks are held: Pakistan does not want to talk. They have several uncomfortable questions to answer.
India on the other hand is in a catch-22 situation. If it does not call off the talks, it faces the risk of more such attacks. If it does go ahead and call the talks off, then it plays into Pakistan's hands."