Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi: A Caliph on the run
There are 8 persons who are in the wait list including Abu Alaa al-Afri.
The
world's
most
dangerous
terrorist,
Abu
Bakr
al-Baghdadi
is
on
the
run.
The
self
declared
Caliph
has
problems
galore
as
he
is
on
the
verge
of
losing
both
Mosul
and
Raqa.
The
chief
of
the
Islamic
State
has
gone
into
hiding
since
the
past
month.
He
has
no
territory
to
control
and
neither
does
have
land
to
rule.
This
technically
would
mean
that
he
cannot
call
himself
a
Caliph
any
longer.
It was exactly a year back news of his death had surfaced. It was for the fifth time that such a news had been floated. There was never any official confirmation regarding the news. Later it was found that it was part of the strategy to hoodwink the security forces.
Bhagdadi realises that he is unable to hold on to the territory which he battled and taken over. The ISIS which stormed both Iraq and Syria made some immense gains at first.
However off late they have been losing considerable ground in both countries. In the recent past they have relied very heavily on propaganda than actual war on the ground which itself is a signal that there is something amiss where their commander is concerned.
While in hiding, Baghdadi has other concerns as well. There is a 25,000 million dollar bounty on his head announced by the US. There is every chance that someone around him may betray him and claim the bounty. Baghdadi's supporters too are fast shrinking.
The bounty according to experts makes matters complicated. It restricts their movements and they have to be on the watch to ensure that they are not betrayed. Experts in Iraq say that after the bounty had been announced, Baghdadi would not stay in place for more than 72 hours. Moreover he has also started trusting completely his inner circle.
The retreat:
In March 2017, Baghdadi had even issued a farewell speech. A statement by Baghdadi titled Farewell Speech was distributed among all the preachers, clerics and fighters. "Return to your countries or detonate yourselves," was the message he had in his statement.
He
issued
the
statement
after
the
Iraqi
army
strengthened
its
position
at
Mosul.
Bhaghdadi
while
ordering
the
closure
of
the
ISIS
office,
gave
the
non-Arab
fighters
two
options
while
promising
them
72
virgins
in
heaven.
He
said
they
must
either
return
to
their
home
country
or
detonate
themselves.
Experts and analysts said that one must not consider the farewell speech as a retreat. The dangerous signs that one gets from the speech is where the self declared Caliph tells the fighters to return home. Over the past year, Baghdadi had directed his fighters several times to return to their home country and carry out lone-wolf attacks.
Who could succeed Baghdadi?
There are 8 persons who are in the wait list. They are Abu Alaa al-Afri who was once an Osama Bin Laden loyalist. He is second in command today in the ISIS, but according to the Shura Council he has no lineage to the Prophet.
Abdullah Alani who claims to have a lineage to the Prophet is next. A religious scholar, Alani is also part of the Shura Council.
Abu Ali al-Anbari, the head of the ISIS security council is another candidate. He was also part of the intelligence in the Saddam Hussein military regime.
Abdul Rahman al-Talabani, head of the religious committee.
Abu Atheer al-Absi, head of the media committee.
Nima abd Naif al-Jubury, head of the military committee.
Abu Bakr al-Khatooni, head of the Shura committee
Abu Omar al-Shishani a military commander.
OneIndia News