Srinagar, Oct 11: It has been four months since the unrest in Jammu and Kashmir began. Reports also suggest that nearly 250 terrorists had infiltrated into the Valley taking advantage of the unrest.
While everyone hopes that tensions in the Valley would reduce, an Intelligence Bureau assessment suggests that it would take a couple of months more before complete normalcy is restored.
What security officials feel is that with the cultivation season coming to an end in the next fifteen days, many would be back on the streets, protesting at the behest of the Hurriyat Conference. The protests this time were higher in the villages when compared to the urban areas of Kashmir.
Matters could worsen
Many in the villages are busy with cultivation. Due to this, there was a considerable decrease in the protests in the village areas. However, with the season coming to an end in the next 15 days, Intelligence Bureau officials say that there is a chance that these people will be back on the streets.
The separatists too are waiting for the season to get over. Once it is over, they will try and escalate problems in the village areas. The separatists this time are reported to have paid stone pelters anything between Rs 300 and Rs 1,000. They are likely to do the same, officers say.
The army has sought a minimum of six months to flush out all militants who have infiltrated into the Valley.
While there have been no fresh infiltrations, operations are on to flush out the existing militants. The counter insurgency operations are already underway. Both the army and the IB are working in tandem to identify and flush out the militants.
At first it was being analysed that at the turn of the winter, normalcy would return.
However, security forces have been told to gear up for a long winter. It will still take a couple of months to bring the Valley back to normal. The existing focus is on flushing out the militants. Once this is done, the protests would be handled, officials also note.