According to informal survey conducted by the ruling coalition of the Congress and National Conference (NC), the Congress's vote-share could go up by three per cent while the People's Democratic Party's (PDP) vote-share could dip by two per cents. [Will implement 73rd Amendment Act in J&K, says Rajnath Singh][J&K assembly election 2014 schedule]
Congress holding 15-20 public meetings in each constituency
According to the survey, the fight in the 15 seats going to the polls in the first phase will be limited between the Congress, NC and BJP. The Congress has appointed former Union minister and chief minister Ghulam Nabi Azad as the chairman of its campaign committee and the party is holding over 15-20 public meetings in each constituency.
Communal polarisation won't help BJP in J&K, feels Congress
Sources in the Congress said that the Narendra Modi factor might not work in these constituencies for they feel communal polarisation doesn't help the BJP much in the state even if it tries to divide the state on religious lines. They rather think that the party's commitment towards its vote-bank of farmers comprising both Hindus and Muslims will help it.
The Congress said communal polarisation won't help the BJP in J&K
In the 2008 election, the NC won seven of the 15 seats that are going to the polls on November 25, followed by the Congress (six) and PDP and Independent (one each).
In July, the Conrgess and the NC decided to contest the election separately though they continued with their alliance in the ruling coalition.