CNN-IBN exit poll: NDA to get 272-282 seats, UPA 92-102 seats
[Read: Times Now exit poll]
[Read: C-Voter exit poll]
[Read: NDTV exit poll]
[Read: What exit polls said (in graph)]
PREDICTED
STANDINGS
NDA
274-286
BJP
230-242
UPA
92-102
Cong
72-82
NORTH
INDIA
DELHI
(7):
BJP
may
win
5-7
seats
(45%),
AAP
0-2
(31%),
Congress
nil
(17%)
PUNJAB
(13):
BJP
6-9
seats
(40%),
Congress
3-5
(29%),
AAP
1-3
(21%)
HARYANA
(10):
BJP+
vote-share
(38%),
Congress
(24%),
INLD
(20%),
AAP
(4%)
UTTARAKHAND (5): BJP vote-share (49%), Congress 38%, BSP (7%), Others 6%
HIMACHAL PRADESH (4): BJP vote-share 51%, Congress 37%, Others 12%
THE CONGRESS HAD WON 30 OUT OF 39 SEATS IN THE FIVE STATES MENTIONED ABOVE IN 2009. THIS TIME, IT COULD LOSE 23 OUT OF THEM.
SOUTH INDIA
TAMIL NADU (39): AIADMK may win 22-28 seats (39% vote-share), DMK+ may win 7-11 seats (26%), BJP+ may get 4-6 seats (16%), Congress nil (9%)
In 2009, the Congress-DMK alliance had won 26 seats while the AIADMK had won 9 seats.
TELANGANA (25): TRS may get 8-12 seats (37% vote-share), BJP-TDP alliance may get 2-4 seats (21%), Congress may get 3-5 seats (31%)
SEEMANDHRA
(17):
YSRC
and
BJP-TDP
may
get
11-15
seats
(vote-shares
40%
and
43%,
respectively),
Congress
nil
(7%)
In
2009,
the
Congress
had
won
33
seats
in
united
Andhra
(12
in
Telangana
and
21
in
Seemandhra)
while
the
TDP
had
won
6
and
TRS
won
2
seats.
KERALA (20): UDF may get 11-14 seats with 45% vote-share (7-8 for the Congress), LDF may get 6-9 seats (40%), The BJP may get 10% vote-share.
In 2009, the UDF had won 16 seats while the LDF 4 seats.
KARNATAKA (28): Congress may win 12-16 seats (43% vote-share), BJP 10-14 seats (38%), JDS 1-3 seats (10%)
In 2009, the BJP had won 19 seats, the Congress 6 and JD(S) 3 seats.
THE CONGRESS AND ITS ALLIES HAD WON 81 OUT OF 129 SEATS IN THE FIVE ABOVE-MENTIONED STATES IN 2009. THIS TIME, IT MAY WIN JUST 30 SEATS. THE BJP HAD WON 19 SEATS IN 2009. THIS TIME ITS TALLY (ALONG WITH ALLIES) MAY GO UP TO 34.
EAST INDIA
WEST BENGAL (42): Trinamool Congress may win 25-31 seats (38% vote-share), Left 7-11 seats (19%), BJP 1-3 seats (15%), Congress 2-4 seats (13% vote-share)
In 2009, the TMC-Congress-SUCI alliance had got 26 seats while the Left got 6 seats and BJP win 1 seat.
ODISHA
(21):
BJD
may
win
12-16
seats
(vote-share
37%),
BJP
3-7
seats
(29%),
Congress
1-3
seats
(24%)
In
2009,
the
BJD
had
won
14
seats,
Congress
6
and
CPI
1
seat.
JHARKHAND
(14):
BJP
may
get
44%
vote-share,
Congress
and
allies
may
get
21%
vote-share,
JVM
11%
and
others
24%.
In
2009,
the
BJP
had
won
8
seats
in
Jharkhand,
the
JMM
2
seats
and
the
Congress
and
JVM
1
seat
each.
ASSAM (14): The Congress may get 40% vote-share, BJP 22%, AGP 13%, AUDF 11% and others 14%.
In 2009, the Congress had won 7 seats in Assam while the BJP bagged 4 seats. Others went the rest three.
KEY STATES
UTTAR PRADESH (80): BJP may get 49-53 seats (40% vote-share), BSP may get 13-17 seats (21%), SP may get 10-14 seats (24%) and Congress 3-5 seats (10%)
In 2009, the SP had won 23 seats, Congress 21 seats, BSP 20 seats and BJP 10 seats.
BIHAR (40): BJP may get 21-27 seats (vote-share 43%), Congress alliance 11-15 seats (29%) and JD(U) 2-4 seats (15%).
In
2009,
JD(U)-BJP
had
won
32
seats
while
the
RJD
won
4
and
Congress
2
seats.
WEST
INDIA
MAHARAHSTRA (48): The BJP alliance may get 33-37 seats (44% vote-share), the Congress alliance may get 11-15 seats (34%). The MNS and AAP may get 3% vote-share.
In
2009,
the
Congress
alliance
had
won
25
seats
while
the
BJP
alliance
had
won
20
seats.
GUJARAT
(26):
The
BJP
may
get
21-25
seats
(53%
vote-share)
while
the
Congress
may
get
11-15
seats
(35%)
In 2009, the BJP had won 15 seats while the Congress had won 11 seats.
RAJASTHAN (48): The BJP may win 22-24 seats (50% vote-share) while the Congress may win 1-3 seats (34%)
In 2009, the Congress had won 20 seats while the BJP won 4 seats.
MADHYA PRADESH (29): The BJP may win 24-28 seats (50% vote-share) while the Congress may win 1-5 seats (34%)
In 2009, the BJP had won 16 seats, the Congress 12 seats and the BSP 1 seat.
CHHATTISGARH
(11):
The
BJP
may
win
51%
vote-share
while
the
Congress
31%
vote-share.
In
2009,
the
BJP
had
won
10
seats
while
the
Congress
had
won
1
seat.
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