CNN-IBN exit poll: NDA to get 272-282 seats, UPA 92-102 seats

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post-oll-survey
New Delhi, May 12: The figures of the post-poll survey of the Lok Sabha election 2014 conducted by the CNN-IBN, Lokniti and CSDS will be telecast at 6.30 pm on Monday, the day the final phase of the general polls was held.

[Read: Times Now exit poll]

[Read: C-Voter exit poll]

[Read: NDTV exit poll]

[Read: What exit polls said (in graph)]

PREDICTED STANDINGS

NDA  274-286  BJP 230-242

UPA   92-102   Cong 72-82


NORTH INDIA

DELHI (7): BJP may win 5-7 seats (45%), AAP 0-2 (31%), Congress nil (17%)

PUNJAB (13): BJP 6-9 seats (40%), Congress 3-5 (29%), AAP 1-3 (21%)

HARYANA (10):
BJP+ vote-share (38%), Congress (24%), INLD (20%), AAP (4%)

UTTARAKHAND (5): BJP vote-share (49%), Congress 38%, BSP (7%), Others 6%

HIMACHAL PRADESH (4): BJP vote-share 51%, Congress 37%, Others 12%

THE CONGRESS HAD WON 30 OUT OF 39 SEATS IN THE FIVE STATES MENTIONED ABOVE IN 2009. THIS TIME, IT COULD LOSE 23 OUT OF THEM.

SOUTH INDIA

TAMIL NADU (39): AIADMK may win 22-28 seats (39% vote-share), DMK+ may win 7-11 seats (26%), BJP+ may get 4-6 seats (16%), Congress nil (9%)

In 2009, the Congress-DMK alliance had won 26 seats while the AIADMK had won 9 seats.

TELANGANA (25): TRS may get 8-12 seats (37% vote-share), BJP-TDP alliance may get 2-4 seats (21%), Congress may get 3-5 seats (31%)

SEEMANDHRA (17): YSRC and BJP-TDP may get 11-15 seats (vote-shares 40% and 43%, respectively), Congress nil (7%)

In 2009, the Congress had won 33 seats in united Andhra (12 in Telangana and 21 in Seemandhra) while the TDP had won 6 and TRS won 2 seats.

KERALA (20): UDF may get 11-14 seats with 45% vote-share (7-8 for the Congress), LDF may get 6-9 seats (40%), The BJP may get 10% vote-share.

In 2009, the UDF had won 16 seats while the LDF 4 seats.

KARNATAKA (28): Congress may win 12-16 seats (43% vote-share), BJP 10-14 seats (38%), JDS 1-3 seats (10%)

In 2009, the BJP had won 19 seats, the Congress 6 and JD(S) 3 seats.

THE CONGRESS AND ITS ALLIES HAD WON 81 OUT OF 129 SEATS IN THE FIVE ABOVE-MENTIONED STATES IN 2009. THIS TIME, IT MAY WIN JUST 30 SEATS. THE BJP HAD WON 19 SEATS IN 2009. THIS TIME ITS TALLY (ALONG WITH ALLIES) MAY GO UP TO 34.

EAST INDIA

WEST BENGAL (42): Trinamool Congress may win 25-31 seats (38% vote-share), Left 7-11 seats (19%), BJP 1-3 seats (15%), Congress 2-4 seats (13% vote-share)

In 2009, the TMC-Congress-SUCI alliance had got 26 seats while the Left got 6 seats and BJP win 1 seat.

ODISHA (21): BJD may win 12-16 seats (vote-share 37%), BJP 3-7 seats (29%), Congress 1-3 seats (24%)

In 2009, the BJD had won 14 seats, Congress 6 and CPI 1 seat.

JHARKHAND (14): BJP may get 44% vote-share, Congress and allies may get 21% vote-share, JVM 11% and others 24%.

In 2009, the BJP had won 8 seats in Jharkhand, the JMM 2 seats and the Congress and JVM 1 seat each.

ASSAM (14): The Congress may get 40% vote-share, BJP 22%, AGP 13%, AUDF 11% and others 14%.

In 2009, the Congress had won 7 seats in Assam while the BJP bagged 4 seats. Others went the rest three.

KEY STATES

UTTAR PRADESH (80): BJP may get 49-53 seats (40% vote-share), BSP may get 13-17 seats (21%), SP may get 10-14 seats (24%) and Congress 3-5 seats (10%)

In 2009, the SP had won 23 seats, Congress 21 seats, BSP 20 seats and BJP 10 seats.

BIHAR (40): BJP may get 21-27 seats (vote-share 43%), Congress alliance 11-15 seats (29%) and JD(U) 2-4 seats (15%).

In 2009, JD(U)-BJP had won 32 seats while the RJD won 4 and Congress 2 seats.

WEST INDIA

MAHARAHSTRA (48): The BJP alliance may get 33-37 seats (44% vote-share), the Congress alliance may get 11-15 seats (34%). The MNS and AAP may get 3% vote-share.

In 2009, the Congress alliance had won 25 seats while the BJP alliance had won 20 seats.

GUJARAT (26): The BJP may get 21-25 seats (53% vote-share) while the Congress may get 11-15 seats (35%)

In 2009, the BJP had won 15 seats while the Congress had won 11 seats.

RAJASTHAN (48): The BJP may win 22-24 seats (50% vote-share) while the Congress may win 1-3 seats (34%)

In 2009, the Congress had won 20 seats while the BJP won 4 seats.

MADHYA PRADESH (29):  The BJP may win 24-28 seats (50% vote-share) while the Congress may win 1-5 seats (34%)

In 2009, the BJP had won 16 seats, the Congress 12 seats and the BSP 1 seat.

CHHATTISGARH (11): The BJP may win 51% vote-share while the Congress 31% vote-share.

In 2009, the BJP had won 10 seats while the Congress had won 1 seat.

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