CVoter poll 2016: TMC may win with a reduced majority in Bengal

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Kolkata, March 5: The Trinamool Congress (TMC) is projected to come back to power in the multi-phase election to the West Bengal Assembly beginning April 4 although with a reduced majority, as per a pre-poll survey conducted by CVoter for India TV.

Congress may lose both Kerala and Assam

AIADMK may win 116 seats in TN, two short of majority

Bengal opinion polls 2016 of February

west bengal assembly elections 2016

Predictions by the survey:

Seat-wise:

TMC may win 156 seats in the 294-seat Assembly, 28 short of its 2011 tally of 184. The majority mark is 148.

The CPI(M)-led Left Front is projected to win 114 seats--an increase of 54 from its 2011 tally.

The Congress, which is likely to contest the election in an alliance with the Left, may get 13, which is 29 less than what he had got in 2011.

Others are projected to win seven seats. The BJP had won no seat in the state in 2011 but has one seat now, thanks to a bypoll victory in 2014.

Vote-share wise:

The TMC's vote-share may get reduced to just over 37 per cent from almost 39 per cent.

The Left may also witness a fall in its vote-share from 39.7 per cent to 34.6 per cent.

The BJP, on the other hand, is expected to see a rise in its vote-share from 4.1 to 10.8 percentage.

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