Itanagar, July 14: The Supreme Court yesterday restored the Nabam Tuki led Congress government in Arunachal Pradesh. While the Congress has termed this as a victory, there lies another test for the party and that is to prove its majority on the floor of the house.
In the 60 member assembly, the Congress has 26 MLAs. The rebels have 21, the BJP 11. Two MLAs had resigned and currently the house strength is at 58.
With these numbers it is not possible for Nabam Tuki to prove his majority on the floor of the house.
The rebels on the other side with the support of the BJP will sail through. Let us examine the possibilities in Arunachal Pradesh in the aftermath of this verdict.
What next in Arunachal Pradesh?
- Nabam Tuki will be Chief Minister as Kalikho Pul to step down.
- Demand for special assembly session will be made.
- Floor test to prove majority will be conducted.
- With existing numbers, Congress will lose floor test.
- Pul can stake claim to form government with support of BJP.
- Centre and Pul can seek review of judgment.
- Success in review petitions not guaranteed as it goes before same Bench.
- If political crisis continues after floor test, President's rule can be imposed.
What will Congress do?
The Congress after this victory in the Supreme Court would try and form the government. Congress sources say that they are willing to even talk to Pul and find a way to work together. The Congress would also give the option for the selection of a new leader.
Tuki's leadership was frowned upon by many and this is what led to the rebellion. Congress may give an option to led Tuki go and elect a new leader. The Congress feels that this may force a change in heart and many rebels may return.
The Congress is fully aware that it does not have the numbers to form the government. It will look to get back at least 18 rebels who had complained about Tuki's leadership. Tuki too is ready to sacrifice his post if the rebels return.