Bengaluru, May 16: While at the start of the election process it appeared that the AIDMK would walk through easily and return to power, the fortunes may have changed slightly as of today says the Intelligence Bureau.
The IB report also states that in West Bengal, the TMC led by Mamata Banerjee will come back to power easily.
The IB report says that the going will not be easy for Jayalalithaa and at the moment the scales are tilting slightly in favour of the DMK, the report also states.In the case of West Bengal the IB predicts that the TMC is likely to cross the 184 mark and the Congress and the Left will bag 20 and 65 seats respectively.
The predictions for Tamil Nadu have however been difficult and the fortunes of the parties changed every now and then once the campaign began.
Photo finish in Tamil Nadu
The IB says that the scales have tilted slightly in the favour of the DMK. While at first it appeared that the AIDMK would have it easy, a lot changed as the campaign began.
The IB says that the scales are tilted in favour of the DMK at the moment, but the result would be an extremely close one. Dr Sandeep Shastri, leading psephologist tells OneIndia that the battle is a close one in Tamil Nadu.
The DMK in fact had an extremely aggressive campaign and this tilted a lot in their favour. During the campaign one also saw the popularity of Jayalalithaa dipping a bit. The campaign was not aggressive and some health related issues too had been pointed out.
At first I felt that she may sweep the polls, but today that is not exactly the case says Dr Shastri. The battle is much closer than one would have expected.
TMC all the way in West Bengal
The IB says that in West Bengal, Mamata Banerjee would return to power. At the start of the elections it was expected that she may cross 184 seats. However as the election process got underway, there have been some changes. It may be plus or minus 10 seats for Mamta, but she will bag a majority easily, the IB report also states.
The Left and the Congress made a slow start. Their seat sharing issues were sorted out late and this did hurt them to a certain extent. Moreover unlike the TMC the opposition has not yet put up a face and this too has not gone in their favour.
The TMC which is expected to sweet Southern Bengal also benefitted from Mamta who remains a popular face in the state, the report further notes.