Srinagar, Dec 6: The synchronised attacks at the Valley yesterday had more than one agenda. While the first message of the terrorists was to show the Indian establishment that they were down, but not out, the other was to stamp their authority in the Valley.
Intelligence Bureau officials tell Oneindia that the attacks were aimed at keeping the Lahkar-e-Tayiba united and also ensure that the attacks coincided with the visit of the Prime Minister to whom they wanted to send a message that democracy will not succeed in Kashmir.
There are more claimants to the cause of Kashmir today. The
ISIS and the Al-Qaed in the Sub Continent have
raised the Kashmir bogey several times in the past few months and
this has led to a turf war in the Valley.
While the ISIS has not made any major move as yet, it has still mentioned Kashmir in its scheme of things in a bid to establish its Global Islamic Council.
The Al-Qaeda in the Sub Continent of the AQIS is however, very
serious about seeking turf in the Valley and this is not something
that has gone down too well with the ISI and the Lashkar-e-Tayiba.
The ISI is the agency which decides which groups gets to fight in
Kashmir. The ISI has always preferred the Lashkar-e-Tayiba to fight
the Kashmir battle and would not want any other group to interfere
in this cause.
Lashkar does exactly as ISI says:
For the ISI, the better bet is the Lashkar which has been an extremely loyal force. It is this combination of the Lashkar and the ISI, which has angered several groups such as the AQIS and the Tehrik-e-Taliban which feels that the Kashmir issue is no longer being fought for independence but for other political purposes.
What the AQIS of the Tehrik-e-Taliban have been arguing is that they need to go all out in Kashmir and engage the Indian forces in a daily battle instead of these selective strikes only aimed at conveying messages. However, the Lashkar has decided to do as the ISI would say and will carry out an attack only if there is an instruction.
Once again, like in 26/11, the ISI decided to give the green signal to the Lashkar when the disgruntlement was growing within the ranks. With new groups staking a claim in Kashmir, there was growing unease among the ranks who were threatening to break away from the Lashkar.
This prompted the ISI to plan an attack on such a huge magnitude in a bid to keep the militants happy.
Planned a long drawn battle:
Had our brave Indian soldiers not killed these terrorists, the
battle would have lasted at least another three days. The
ammunition and supplies found on the terrorists indicated that they
were fully prepared for a long battle.
Sources say that the idea was to keep the forces engaged in a battle and ensure that it went on till polling date. There is no doubt that these were militants backed by the Pakistan army and the supplies found at the encounter site suggest that the terrorists were being provided for by the Pakistan army.
The attacks, which were largely carried out by the Lashkar-e-Tayiba and their splinter groups had the complete backing of the Pakistan establishment. The operation was a professional one. The terrorists trained by the Pakistan army were give intelligence support by the ISI, Indian Agencies also point out.
Terrorists came in much before:
Sources also say that these terrorists could have slipped into the Valley at least 15 days in advance. There was no fixed date for the attack, but it appears that it was planned to coincide with polling date and also the visit by Prime Minister Narendra Modi to Kashmir.
Many more planned:
According to the inputs with our Intelligence Bureau there are several other attacks of this nature that the ISI has planned. The ISI is under immense pressure from terrorists groups and have often accused the spy agency of going too slow in Kashmir.
Even a Hafiz Saeed has told the ISI that the battle needs to be continuous and the temp stepped up as they are gradually losing control.
In the last meeting of the ISI, Pakistan army and Saeed, which was held just three months back, it was said that the fear among the locals was not there anymore.
There is a need to drive in the fear so that they get the support of locals. Many locals are also tired of militancy in the Valley and feel that those from Pakistan had only made false promises all along about independence of Kashmir.
However, in reality there was a larger political game being played since the Kashmir cause is a major draw in the elections in Pakistan.