Even the exit polls predicted that the BSP was heading for a big loss. There was never any momentum and despite having the first mover advantage as she chose candidates first, the BSP failed to make any mark.
Mayawati had hoped to consolidate her performance by relying on the Muslim votes. However the coming together of the Samajwadi Party and the Congress derailed that plan of hers. The Muslims voted in large numbers for the SP-Congress combine. The two parties bagged an average of at least 70 per cent of the Muslim votes.
The other factor is that Mayawati managed to hold on to just votes from the Jatav community. However she did not manage to add voters from other communities, exit polls had suggested. The Axis poll suggested that the BSP will get 77 per cent of the Jatav votes. The non-Jatav votes for the BSP has been projected only at 43 per cent.