The UPA is expected to get just 107-127 seats. Many regional parties are expected to maintain their lead in their respective states.
According to CNN-IBN-Lokniti-CSDS National Election Tracker, Narendra Modi-led BJP is heading for a massive victory and the Congress is likely to be routed in most of parts of India. It is likely to be routed in Andhra Pradesh, Tamil Nadu, Bihar, Uttar Pradesh, Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh, Gujarat and Delhi.
The survey was conducted in 18 states across India in the first two weeks of January.
- NDA (BJP + Shiv Sena + Shiromani Akali Dal) - 211-231
- UPA (Congress + NCP + Kerala allies + JMM) - 107-127
- Trinamool Congress (TMC) - 20-28
- All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (AIADMK) - 15-23
- Left Front - 15-23
- YSR Congress Party - 11-19
- Biju Janata Dal (BJD) - 10-16
- Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP) - 10-16
- Telugu Desam Party (TDP) - 9-15
- Samajwadi Party (SP) - 8-14
- Janata Dal United (JDU) - 7-13
- Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) - 7-13
- Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) - 6-12
- Rashtriya Janata Dal (RJD) - 6-10
- Telangana Rashtra Samithi (TRS) - 4-8
- Janata Dal Secular (JDS) - 4-8
According to the findings overall 27 per cent respondents have answered that they vote for the Congress while 34 per cent people want to vote for the BJP.
While the BJP has gained 7 per cent votes in the last six months, the Congress has lost 1 per cent.
If the elections are held in January 2014, the UPA is expected get 28 per cent, NDA is expected to get 36 per cent and others are expected to get 36 per cent votes respectively.