In the aftermath of the Nice terror attack, the French President Francois Hollande said that he would put in place a mechanism to defend the nation better against terror. He also spoke about strengthening France's role in both Iraq and Syria.
Strengthening its fight in Syria and Iraq is one part of the plan. But the other issue is that the ISIS does not restrict itself to Syria or Iraq alone. It is fully aware that the battle in Syria and Iraq is virtually lost.
Inspired by ISIS made in the rest of the world:
What the ISIS provides is the inspiration. It sells dreams of a Caliphate and the rule of the Sharia. It constantly posts ideas on its social media accounts calling for attacks. What it has effectively managed to do is inspire a whole lot of youth who are ready to strike and credit the ISIS for it.
Take for instance the Dhaka attack. It was carried out by the locals but they were inspired by the ISIS. It is the same story at Orlando, Istanbul, Paris just to name a few.
Even the recently busted module at Hyderabad had planned attacks on similar lines. They were a bunch of self radicalised persons who wanted to strike in the name of the ISIS and declare the Caliphate.
The ISIS had set this game plan rolling several months back. It has been telling its fighters to return to their home countries posing as migrants. At first when the signals of this go back home programme came out, it was mistaken for a retreat.
However that was not the case. It was Plan B. The idea is to execute revenge. Europe is likely to be the hardest hit in such a scenario. While the ISIS would try and win back lost ground in both Iraq and Syria, the idea for now is to extend its global reach.
Even in the Indian scenario it could pose a problem since there are around 21 Indians with the ISIS. There is a possibility of these persons also being asked to return. India had in fact sensed this sometime back and decided to press strong charges against Areeb Majeed who returned from the ISIS fold to Mumbai.
Indian intelligence officials say that one needs to be particularly weary of the returnees as they come back with a motive. Even if any of the ISIS returnees seek help or asylum, they should never be out in the open.