As per an ABP News-Nielsen pre-poll survey, the BJP has an edge over ruling Congress and other regional parties in Haryana. After winning seven out of ten Lok Sabha seats from the state the party seems to repeat its success in the state polls as well.
What has the survey predicted?
It also seems that BJP is going to have an edge over Congress and other political parties in Haryana.
BJP had won seven out of the 10 Lok Sabha seats in Haryana; state BJP leaders are confident of riding the Modi wave to victory in the Assembly elections as well.
As per the survey, the BJP is predicted to win 46 seats in the upcoming Assembly elections in the state. That would be the scenario if it contests with its 3-year-old ally Haryana Janhit Congress (BL) which could bag 10 seats in the 90-member Assembly. The INLD is set to win 19 seats while the Congress gets 13, others get 2, in such a situation.
However, considering the current deadlock between the BJP and HJC over seat sharing issue, speculations are rife that the alliance is going to split. Reason for the same is HJC's poor show in the Lok Sabha polls. The Kuldeep Bishnoi, son of former Chief Minister Bhajan Lal, led party lost both the seats it contested in the LS polls. Even party's chief and sitting MP, Bishnoi, too failed to retain his constituency, Hissar.
BJP having an upper hand
As per the pre-poll survey, if the BJP and HJC end their three-year-old alliance, the former would still have an upper hand. The BJP is likely to get 43 seats, if there is no alliance between the two parties while HJC is pitched to win 3 seats. INLD will get 26 seats and the Bhupinder Hooda led Congress is seen winning 13 seats.
If there is an alliance between BJP, HJC & INLD then the three together are likely to be victorious in massive 80 seats. The Congress at this juncture is likely to win 8 seats, says the survey.
If the BJP comes into an agreement with former ally INLD, the duo would win 75 seats. Congress in such a scenario would get 10 assembly seats while HJC would be getting just 3 seat.
Hooda Govt staring at its worst ever rout in Haryana
In the 2009 assembly polls, the Congress had won 41, INLD 30, HJC 6, BJP 4, BSP 1 and others bagged 8 seats. Falling short of 4 seats, the Hooda-led Congress formed the government after roping in independents and HJC rebels.
But it seems that the BJP is mulling over going alone in Haryana polls. Even today, while addressing the party's national council meet was heard addressing the party's Haryana unit to gather the socks and ensure the party comes to power on its own.
"The Haryana party unit must work to ensure BJP comes to power on its own. We can look at alliance if needed," said Shah.
The Haryana party unit must work to ensure BJP comes to power on its own. We can look at alliance if needed-Amit Shah
The Haryana party unit must work to ensure BJP comes to power on its own. We can look at alliance if needed-Amit Shah— ANI (@ANI_news) August 9, 2014
Challenges for the BJP
Hence, the BJP, having a master strategist like Amit Shah and a Prime Minister Narendra Modi being its face, is better placed in Haryana as compared to other political parties. But, the party faces a tough problem though. The party lacks a strong leadership in Haryana to represent it on state level. The party's thumping win in the general elections was due to the Narendra Modi and it will have to once again depend on its poster boy and master strategist to create yet another history. But the party still needs to find a strong face from the state to project as the next Chief Minister.