Mamata backs UPA: Regional parties think big than they are
No
third
front
will
ever
be
of
significance
in
Indian
politics
and
it
has
been
proved
again,
this
time
by
Trinamool
Congress
(TMC)
chief
Mamata
Banerjee.
The
maverick
West
Bengal
chief
minister,
who
has
had
serious
differences
with
the
Congress
and
pulled
out
of
the
UPA
last
September,
unexpectedly
threw
her
weight
behind
the
ruling
alliance
on
the
Sri
Lanka
issue.
The
DMK,
the
second-largest
ally
in
the
UPA
after
the
TMC's
pull-out,
withdrew
support
from
the
Congress-led
alliance
on
the
Lanka
issue
on
Tuesday,
putting
its
survival
under
serious
threat.
Banerjee's
U-turn
is
obvious
But why suddenly this U-turn by Banerjee? The general observation was that the TMC chief would be happy with the latest development and expect the UPA government crumble soon so that the country goes to mid-term polls and she gets to an opportunity to join the new dispensation in New Delhi. Her party had even moved a no-confidence motion against the government after the withdrawal which fell flat and time and again, the TMC supremo has been heard saying that the UPA government has lost the moral authority to rule.
But Banerjee knows very well that politics isn't a static discipline. No matter how much she roars against the Centre, the TMC leader is aware that she is just another regional force at the end of the day. The divorce with the Congress at the national and state level has not paid off for her and it has been at the recent by-polls in Bengal.
Mamata Banerjee has learnt her lesson
Banerjee hasn't been able to storm Congress bastions of Adhir Ranjan Chowdhury and the Mukherjees and could manage English Bazaar with the help of a former Congress leader. The leader's own mass following has also been hit, which was visible during her recent rally in West Midnapore district. The state has found a very little favour in this year's railway budget and the opposition has slammed the state government for making hollow promises to the people in all these years.
Banerjee has continued to make more promises ahead of this year's panchayat polls but the financial state is too fragile for her to back the execution of these projects. The media is targeting the administration on various issues and of late, the Congress top leadership is tilting towards the Left Front to forge a UPA I model in case the UPA III becomes a reality.
In
this
situation,
it
is
getting
tougher
for
the
TMC
to
get
things
moving
in
its
direction.
Almost
two
years
into
the
ruler's
seat,
Banerjee
and
her
party
has
learnt
that
the
ground
underneath
is
slipping
away
fast.
In
this
situation,
the
only
realistic
option
for
it
is
to
move
closer
to
the
Centre
for
if
mid-term
polls
are
held
now,
the
TMC
will
find
it
difficult
to
reap
profits.
The
party
has
lost
its
popularity
extremely
fast,
thanks
to
a
disastrous
running
of
the
state
administration.
An
opportunity
to
beat
Mulayam
in
the
race
for
the
most-trusted
ally?
The unpredictable Mulayam Singh has also made Banerjee interested in making amends. It was Mulayam who had ditched Mamata before the presidential election last year and drew closer to the Centre at her expense and also bagged financial favour. In case the Samajwadi Party decides to toy with the Centre for its position has been strengthened after DMK's pull-out and prefer to go to early polls (before the anti-incumbency factor catches up with it in Uttar Pradesh) by trying to topple the UPA government, Banerjee might come into the rescue of the latter.
Congress will take the opportunity, also to corner the BJP more
The Congress has also revealed its intention of inching towards Nitish Kumar's JD(U) to win more allies to survive. Union minister Jairam Ramesh has cleared MGNREGA payments for Bihar and also promised the same for Bengal. Another minister Kamal Nath also called up Banerjee to discuss the Sri Lanka issue and the latter assured support to the government on international issues.
Don't regional parties understand their limitation?
Banerjee's latest stand proves that for the regional parties, international affairs are of concern till they serve their own interest. It was the same Banerjee who had objected to a river water-sharing between India and Bangladesh a couple of years ago. But on the question of human rights violation in Sri Lanka, she has a bigger interest to serve and that is her political survival. The same will be seen with the DMK once the post-poll alliance becomes the question of the day.
At the end of the day, it's either Congress or BJP
The regional parties try to harass a weakened Centre by means of a blackmailing politics but the point is that the end of the day, they never reach a position to call the shots by themselves. They will have to either support a national party in government formation or will need the latter's support in case they get an advantage of leading a government. But in any case, they are yet to replace the national parties to present a stable leadership.
Then why all the periodic aggressions which actually mean nothing?