Bengaluru, March 5: The Congress-led United Democratic Front (UDF) is likely to lose power in the May 16 Assembly election in Kerala, according to a pre-poll survey conducted by CVoter for India TV.
AIADMK may lead in Tamil Nadu but not dominate, says pre-poll survey
In Assam, on the other hand, the BJP-led front is likely to win 57 seats, seven short of the majority mark of 64 in the 126-seat Assembly.
What the survey said on Kerala and Assam elections:
- UDF to win 49 seats, 23 short of its current tally of 72, in the 140-seat Assembly (71 is the magic figure).
- Left Democratic Front may win 89 seats, 23 more than its tally of 66 in 2011. This will give it a clear majority.
- BJP-led NDA may win one seat which will mark its debut in the southern state while 'Others' also one.
- LDF may get 44.6 per cent, up by one per cent while UDF 39.1 pc (down from 45.8 per cent in 2011).
- The BJP-led alliance may win 57 seats.
- The Congress may win just 44 seats, 34 less than its current tally of 78.
- Badruddin Ajmal's All Indian United Democratic Front may win 19 seats, one more than 2011 while 'Others' may win six.
- The BJP-led alliance may get 35 per cent (it got 33.9 per cent last time)
- The Congress's voteshare may be reduced to 35.6 oer cent from 39.4 per cent in 2011
- BJP-AGP alliance not reflected in Assam survey: The survey did not include the Asom Gana Parishad as part of the BJP's alliance which took shape on March 3 (Thursday). The BJP-led alliance as has been mentioned in the survey includes the BJP and Bodoland People's Front. The C-Voter said that the impact of the BJP-AGP alliance could be known only in the next survey. The ACP figured in the 'Others' category in this survey.
Assam will go to a two-phase election on April 4 and 11. The results of all the four state and one UT elections (Puducherry) will be known on May 19.