Bangalore, April 4: The CNN-IBN's election tracker for the upcoming Lok Sabha election done jointly with the Lokniti, CSDS and The Week between March 18 and 25 revealed the following figures in various states:
[Read: Poll-tracker for East India]
[Read: Poll tracker for South India]
[Read: Poll tracker for North India]
Choice among youth (18-22 years): 39% backs Modi, 16% backs Rahul Gandhi
In South India: 24% backs Narendra Modi as PM, 17% backs Rahul Gandhi
Among women: 29% backs Modi, 14% backs Rahul Gandhi
Acceptability: 35% of respondents feels that Modi is more acceptable than Vajpayee, 30% feels not:
2002 riots: 40% of respondents feels Modi should apologise for the 2002 riots in Gujarat, 25% feels he need not do so.
Dealing with Pakistan: 26% of respondents feels Modi will succeed in improving ties with Pakistan, 30% feels not.
Attitude: 25% of respondents feels Modi is arrogant and he speaks only about himself, 33% feels not.
Sardar Patel question: 24% of respondents feels Modi tried to exploit the Sardar Patel factor while 32% felt otherwise.
Rahul Gandhi competent to become PM: 43% of respondents feels yes, 31% feels no
About UPA government
Corruption: 73% of respondents feels UPA government is corrupt (very or somewhat) while 8% feels it is not.
Net satisfaction level: Three per cent of the respondents feels satisfied with the UPA while -4% in the big cities is satisfied with the UPA.
Another chance: 55% of respondents in North India feels UPA shouldn't get another chance while 57% of respondents in West India feels so.
Big result (predicted vote-shares and seats)
NDA may get 38% vote-share, as against 23.4% in 2009 (234-246 seats)
UPA may get 28% vote-share, as against 32.6% in 2009 (111-123 seats)
Left may get 4% vote-share, as against 7.6% in 2009
BSP may get 4% vote-share, as against 6.2% in 2009
SP may get 4% vote-share, as against 3.4% in 2009
AAP may get 3% vote-share
The BJP may get 206-218 seats
The Congress may get 94-106 seats