CNN-IBN election tracker: BJP set for landslides in Gujarat & MP
[Read: Poll tracker in East India]
[Read: Poll tracker in South India]
Gujarat (26 seats)
The net satisfaction level with the Narendra Modi government in Gujarat is 47 per cent. Forty per cent of the respondents feels the state has seen great development in the last 10 years while 15% feels development has occurred but not as pr the claims. Twenty-three per cent of the respondents feels that the development in the state has benefitted a few.
Forty-six per cent of the respondents agree with Arvind Kejriwal that the development in Gujarat has benefitted the corporates.
Thirty-eight per cent of the respondents feels price rise is the most important poll issue in the state.
Predicted vote-shares and seats
BJP may get 55% vote-share, as against 47% in 2009 (20-26 seats)
Congress
may
get
31%
vote-share,
as
against
43%
in
2009
(0-4
seats)
AAP may get 10% vote-share (0-2 seats)
Others may get 8% vote-share, as against 10% in 2009
In
terms
of
choice
of
prime
minister,
46%
of
the
respondents
back
Modi
while
15%
backs
Rahul
Gandhi.
Sonia
Gandhi
and
Arvind
Kejriwal
are
in
the
third
and
fourth
positions,
respectively.
Madhya
Pradesh
(29
seats)
Net satisfaction with Shivraj Singh Chouhan government is 66%, while that with the UPA government is 11%. Twenty-three per cent of the respondents feels corruption is the most important poll issue.Fifteen per cent of respondents feels price rise is a vital poll issue.
Predicted vote-shares and seats
BJP may get 52%, as against 43% in 2009 (24-28 seats)
Congress may get 28% vote-share, as against 30% in 2009 (1-5 seats)
BSP may get 5% vote-share, as against 6% in 2009 (zero seats)
Others may get 15% vote-share, as against 11% in 2009 (zero seats)
Maharashtra (48 seats)
Net satisfaction with the Prithviraj Chavan government is minus 9% while it is 1% with the UPA govt. Twenty-three per cent of the respondents wants to give the UPA govt another chance while 58% says no.
Twenty per cent of the respondents feels development is the top poll issue while 19% feels it is corruption. Price-rise is third.
Predicted vote-shares and seats
BJP
and
allies
may
get
43%
vote-share,
as
against
38%
in
2009
(24-30
seats)
Congress and allies may get 33% vote-share, as against 39% in 2009 (16-22 seats)
AAP may get 5% vote-share
MNS may get 3% vote-share, as against 4% in 2009
Forty-two per cent of the respondents backs Narendra Modi as the PM while 16% backs Rahul Gandhi.
Chhattisgarh (11 seats)
Seventy per cent satisfaction level with Raman Singh government while 37% is satisfied with the UPA government at the Centre. Price rise is considered top poll issue by 16% while 13% believes development is a key poll issue.
Predicted vote-shares and seats
BJP may get 45% vote-share, as against 44% in 2009
Congress may get 39% vote-share, as against 37% in 2009
BSP may get 4% vote-share, as against 5% in 2009
Others may get 13% vote share, same as that of 2009.
Twenty-four per cent of the respondents blames the state government for the repeated Naxalite violence in the state while 12% blames the central government.
OneIndia News