Uttar Pradesh by bagging 232 to 250 seats in the 403-member Assembly. On the eve of the counting of votes, the poll, conducted by CNN-IBN-The Week-CSDS, projects that the ruling Bahujan Samaj Party would get only 65 to 70 seats, way below its tally of 206 in the 2007 Assembly elections.
According to the poll, the Congress may end up in the third place with projected 36-44 seats, up from 22 last time, while BJP may bag only 28-38 seats, far behind its tally of 51 seats in 2007 elections.
The poll suggests only 11-23 seats for others. In terms of vote share, the poll claimed that SP would get 34 per cent, the BSP 24 per cent, followed by the BJP with 14 per cent and Congress at the fourth place with just 12 per cent. The poll survey also suggests that the Samajwadi Party has done well in all the regions of Uttar Pradesh.