Washington, September 23 : A long-term study of mammal fossils spanning a 5-million-year period in northern Pakistan has suggested that two species of giraffe, several rhinos and five elephant relatives, along with multitudes of rodents, bush pigs, horses, antelope and apes, once inhabited the region.
University of Michigan paleoecologist Catherine Badgley and coworkers conducted the study.
The study indicates that when climate shifted dramatically in north Pakistan some 8 million years ago, precipitating a major change in vegetation, most species became locally extinct rather than adapting to the new ecosystem.
The work has value not only in reconstructing Earth's past, but also for understanding what may lie ahead if current climate trends continue, according to Badgley.
"Climate is going to produce changes in ecological structure of all sorts of plants and animals around the world, now as in the past. The fossil record can help us understand how much, or how little, climate change is necessary to produce changes in ecosystems," she said.
Badgley is part of an interdisciplinary team of geologists and paleontologists that has been studying the fossil-rich Siwalik sedimentary rocks in northern Pakistan for more than 30 years.
The Siwalik Group of sediments contains one of the world's most complete and best-studied fossil records of mammals, chronicling in a two-mile-thick deposit of rock the mammals that roamed the area from 18 to 1 million years ago.
About 8 million years ago, the local climate became drier, and the prevailing vegetation changed from tropical forests and woodland to a savannah similar to that found in parts of Africa today.
What happened next can be reconstructed from the chemistry and wear of the teeth of the plant-eating mammals, as well as the longevity of each species during the period when vegetation was changing.
The teeth provide evidence of the animals' diets, revealing whether they switched to eating the newly abundant grasses when their favored fruits and broad-leafed plants were no longer available.
Mammals that relied on fruit and browse disappeared early in the transition from forest to savannah vegetation and were not replaced, while those that ate broad leaves and grasses either adapted and persisted by changing their diets to include more grass or disappeared and were replaced by immigrant species with similar diets.
By the time that savannah was the dominant vegetation, most herbivorous mammals in the area subsisted mainly on grass.
The overall effect was a significant decline in the diversity of mammals in the area.
"We see quite a different ecological profile of the kinds of mammals that coexisted after this climate change than before," said Badgley.
"It's clear that climate has had an impact on the ecological diversity of mammals in the area," she added.